Decay watch: 2001 Jan 15

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Jan 15 2001 - 11:23:16 PST

  • Next message: David Brierley: "DMB Obs Jan 11-14"

    Although SpaceCom has yet to post a decay warning for it, I have posted
    my own prediction for the Shenzhou rocket on my Decay Watch page (see
    below). There are visibility opportunities over the USA and southern
    Europe in the evening sky and over Australia before dawn.
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26665 = 01-  1 B = Shenzhou 2 Long March 2F rocket
    
    Notice prepared: 2001 Jan 15 19:10 UTC
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   not yet predicted
    
    SatEvo     Jan 15 19:10     Jan 20 12:43 +-1.3d
    
    Latest elset:
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       278 x 184 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01015.52849061  .01610191  84709-5  66584-3 0   253
    2 26665  42.5728 318.3442 0071589 172.0424 188.1087 16.15756010   937
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       273 x 182 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01016.02274797  .01560528  87579-3  58526-3 0 90257
    2 26665  42.5724 315.1382 0068932 175.7680 184.2905 16.17195084  1019
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       267 x 179 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01016.51653977  .01705531  10783-2  57388-3 0 90254
    2 26665  42.5720 311.9282 0066094 179.4985 180.5081 16.18805247  1096
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       260 x 176 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01017.00981732  .01886957  13942-2  56102-3 0 90257
    2 26665  42.5715 308.7136 0063062 183.2342 176.7249 16.20573562  1171
    
    Note: This bright object tracks northbound into eclipse near 42 deg N 
    latitude in the evening sky and exits eclipse while southbound near
    31 deg S before dawn.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jan 15 2001 - 11:25:20 PST