Decay watch: 2001 Jan 8

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Jan 08 2001 - 11:43:06 PST

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    SpaceCom has added the Cosmos 1701 rocket to the list of current
    decayers. Check my decay watch page for more details of the following,
    including SatEvo-predicted elsets...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #16243 = 85-105 D = Cosmos 1701 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jan  8 16:35     Jan 11 06:59 +-2d        27.0 S   170.5 E
    SatEvo     Jan  8 19:20     Jan 11 10:07 +-19h
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 1701 r                                    2168 x 108 km
    1 16243U 85105D   01008.64046524  .27785657  74939-5  10403-2 0   158
    2 16243  63.4503 198.6024 1370590 185.4280 319.7388 13.32314745   228
    
    Note: At present, this appears to be sunlit all around its orbit.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #22659 = 93- 32 C = GPS 2-20 r2 (PAM-D)
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jan  8 17:12     Jan 12 14:59 +-2d         9.8 S    17.7 E
    SatEvo     Jan  8 19:30     Jan 13 13:25 +-1.4d
    
    Latest elset:
    GPS 2-20 r2      3.0  1.5  0.0  6.5 d  2.9       657 x 142 km
    1 22659U 93032C   01008.65457251  .04612962  40428-6  57356-3 0  5488
    2 22659  34.6219  35.4276 0380082 298.4251  57.8270 15.55841323182692
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 34 sec early against the
    prediction I made two days ago.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #24745 = 97- 10 B = Zeya Start-1 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jan  4 08:54     Jan  8 01:10 +-2d        40.6 N    10.8 W
    SatEvo     Jan  8 19:40     Jan 12 03:29 +-20h
    
    Latest elset:
    Zeya r           3.0  0.0  0.0  6.0 d  3.7       196 x 190 km
    1 24745U 97010B   01008.71445531  .01387568  23460-5  32547-3 0  8977
    2 24745  97.1652 288.0660 0004412 126.5809 233.5906 16.29808158217024
    
    Note: SpaceCom has this decaying too quickly. The latest shows this 
    running 11 sec early against the SatEvo prediction I posted two days 
    ago.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jan 08 2001 - 11:44:35 PST