System problems outside my control are again inhibiting the updates of
my elset files (dklist/select/iridiums/etc, but not satbase) on my WWW
page. The files _should_be_ available by FTP via the link on that page.
Meantime, I have updated my Decay watch page for the following
objects...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22925 = 93- 72 E = Gorizont 29 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 5 15:20 Jan 6 03:11 +-7h 46.1 N 158.8 E
SatEvo Jan 5 16:35 Jan 6 02:57 +-4h 26.2 N 109.8 E
Latest elset:
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 878 x 104 km
1 22925U 93072E 01005.54430863 .44104572 13084-4 78812-3 0 8614
2 22925 46.5433 235.5747 0563069 5.4362 357.9979 15.24929911 96321
SatEvo prediction:
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 725 x 107 km
1 22925U 93072E 01005.73866061 .68309102 34245+0 12288-2 0 98609
2 22925 46.5311 234.4819 0454720 6.2614 354.2884 15.50223190 96359
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 672 x 107 km
1 22925U 93072E 01005.80291318 .75830892 44564+0 12634-2 0 98607
2 22925 46.5287 234.1250 0417816 6.6158 353.9193 15.59461743 96366
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 614 x 106 km
1 22925U 93072E 01005.86676340 .86030090 64968+0 13094-2 0 98600
2 22925 46.5251 233.7654 0376788 6.9730 353.5367 15.69759721 96378
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 547 x 105 km
1 22925U 93072E 01005.93016505 1.00987079 98590+0 13766-2 0 98608
2 22925 46.5221 233.4027 0329927 7.3334 353.1377 15.81547971 96388
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 469 x 104 km
1 22925U 93072E 01005.99304977 1.25862831 17487+1 14805-2 0 98604
2 22925 46.5186 233.0362 0274072 7.6975 352.7148 15.95655246 96392
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 369 x 102 km
1 22925U 93072E 01006.05530012 1.80217268 44407+1 16763-2 0 98609
2 22925 46.5142 232.6651 0201315 8.0663 352.2525 16.14154508 96402
Note: The latest elset shows this running 7.4 minutes early against
yesterday's prediction. I estimate that this will decay following the
northbound equator crossing at the end of the final predicted rev.
This puts it NE-bound over China. If it survives, it passes over
Sapporo in northern Japan at 03:05 UTC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23854 = 96- 25 B = Cosmos 2332 rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 4 23:44 Jan 4 21:42 +-47m 66.3 N 172.9 E
SatEvo Jan 4 19:20 Jan 4 22:47 +-90m 1.6 S 5.7 W
SatEvo Jan 5 16:55 Jan 4 21:51 +-30m 52.1 N 179.4 E
Final elset:
Cosmos 2332 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 12 143 x 127 km
1 23854U 96025B 01004.82867189 .27319535 -12723-5 23529-3 0 4667
2 23854 82.8460 81.0097 0012101 126.1509 234.1585 16.51595908246971
Note: Apologies for the typo in my prediction yesterday that had it
decaying on the 5th, rather than the 4th. The final elset has this 5
seconds early against the prediction I had made a few hours before. I
estimate that this decayed in the vicinity of perigee on the following
SatEvo-predicted rev...
Cosmos 2332 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 12 120 x 111 km
1 23854U 96025B 01004.88909458 1.10507920 50000+2 37715-3 0 94665
2 23854 82.8437 80.9397 0006400 125.8917 234.1677 16.59114145246981
...possibly southbound over the Aleutian Islands en route to Samoa at
22:07 UTC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Jan 05 2001 - 09:12:46 PST