Another update to my Decay Watch page, including the first notices for
the Gorizont 29 aux motor...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #4584 = 70- 85 B = Meteor 1-6 rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 1 12:36 Jan 1 12:17 +-52m 41.2 N 117.1 W
SatEvo Jan 1 19:30 Jan 1 12:27 +-60m 13.6 S 110.5 W
Final elset:
Meteor 1-6 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 11 134 x 131 km
1 04584U 70085B 01001.42589323 .16449331 -13311-5 13531-3 0 4851
2 04584 81.1525 355.4795 0001990 48.1898 312.1451 16.52612039654681
Note: The final elset has this 10 sec early against my previous
prediction. I show it decaying southbound following an equator
crossing over the eastern Pacific. There was a southbound pass
over the USA from Spokane, Washington, at 12:12 UTC to the
California-Mexico border at 12:16, with SpaceCom's "ground impact"
point along this stretch in northern Nevada. My predicted elset for
this rev is:
Meteor 1-6 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 11 120 x 118 km
1 04584U 70085B 01001.48629321 .52901277 40221+1 21316-3 0 94855
2 04584 81.1509 355.3931 0001339 47.9421 312.0693 16.57809605654690
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22925 = 93- 72 E = Gorizont 29 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 2 17:20 Jan 5 23:30 +-2d 33.9 N 175.1 E
SatEvo Jan 2 20:35 Jan 6 19:01 +-1.3d
Latest elset:
Gorz 29 AuxMtr 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 2 1833 x 117 km
1 22925U 93072E 01002.68889882 .16698695 29428-4 85595-3 0 8488
2 22925 46.6252 248.8614 1166572 351.8348 6.6334 13.76827700 95917
SatEvo prediction: See my Decay Watch page
Note: This enters eclipse near 20 deg N while southbound at ~20:00
local time. Eclipse exit occurs southbound near 33 deg S near local
midnight.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23854 = 96- 25 B = Cosmos 2332 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 1 22:49 Jan 4 19:44 +-2d 42.3 S 35.0 E
SatEvo Jan 2 20:25 Jan 5 03:46 +-15h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2332 r 7.4 2.4 0.0 5.5 v 12 250 x 179 km
1 23854U 96025B 01002.55873684 .02521742 -13715-5 83938-3 0 4471
2 23854 82.8518 83.5451 0053236 127.4065 233.2115 16.21887923246608
SatEvo prediction: See my Decay Watch page
Note: This enters eclipse northbound near 47 deg S at ~22:00 local
time and leaves eclipse southbound near 76 deg N at ~08:30. The latest
elset has it running 11 sec late against the prediction I posted 35
hours ago.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Jan 02 2001 - 12:57:56 PST