Molniya 1-57 decay ?

From: Harro.Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Tue Jan 18 2000 - 05:02:15 PST

  • Next message: Terry Moore: "(no subject)"

    Report time 12:40 UTC
    
    1983-025A (#13964) Molniya 1-57
    
    SpaceCom released a decay forecast - prepared January 18, 05:08 UTC :
                    January 18, 23:53 UTC +/- 12 hours (54.0S, 283.6E)
    During the last 48 hours there were a lot of bizarre ELSETs. I agree
    with Alan's doubts about such an early decay. The actual MM is 5.054...
    (Apogee: 15680.3 km/ Perigee: 99.36 km), based on the ELSET 00018.377....
    
    A precise prediction with MPM - but also with other techniques - is difficult. 
    Six solar panels and 2 dish antennas on the satellite main structure are 
    undergone heavy stress loads during the the low perigee passages. There are 
    ruptures and losts of these elements that cause uplifts or crosstrack shifts of
    satellite. Let us wait and see... 
    
    Harro
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    
    Berlin, Germany  
    
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