SatEvo decay list #68
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 3 Jan 1999 18:16:19 +0000
SatEvo decay list #68 (issued 1999 January 3)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate
their decay by 1999 February 28, although some larger and/or more
interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via
my SatEvo page at
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle,
and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (1998/9) ----
Predicted Actual?
3508 68- 91 E Cosmos 249 deb December 21.19
24624 94- 29 AAC STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22? Notes 2,3
9794 70-102 F Cosmos 381 r deb December 23.0
25210 87- 68 AM Meteor 2-16 deb December 23.0
25582 98- 74 F Iridium 11A CZ deb December 23.3
24178 94- 29 JD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 23
25583 98- 74 G Iridium 11A CZ deb December 23.7
25581 98- 74 E Iridium 11A CZ deb December 24.1
25584 98- 74 H Iridium 11A CZ deb December 24.5
3381 65- 82 MT OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 28 Note 3
24475 94- 29 TY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 28 Note 3
25120 97- 84 J Orbcomm 9 Pegasus r December 28.60 Note 4
23539 95- 16 D Brazilsat B2 Spelda December 29.12
25572 98- 73 B MCO Delta 2 r1 December 29.84
2988 65- 82 MT OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 30
9974 68- 97 DW Cosmos 252 deb December 30.9
25596 98- 77 D C 2362 Proton r December 31.24
25597 98- 77 E C 2362 Proton plat December 31.28
24101 94- 29 EY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31
24693 94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31? Notes 2,3
25190 87- 68 R Meteor 2-16 deb December 31? Notes 2,3
25441 94- 29 ADW STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31 Note 3
24670 96- 69 A Cosmos 2335 January 1.15 Note 5
4610 70- 25 N Nimbus 4 Agena deb January 1
25591 98- 77 M C 2362 Proton deb January 1
25602 98- 77 K C 2362 Proton deb January 1
25603 98- 77 L C 2362 Proton deb January 1
22492 92- 93 GB Cosmos 2227 deb January 2
25599 98- 77 G C 2362 Proton deb January 2
24086 94- 29 EH STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 4
24345 94- 29 NW STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 4
25192 87- 68 T Meteor 2-16 deb January 4
25421 98- 46 J Orbcomm 13 Pegasus r January 4
21083 90- 81 CJ FY-1B CZ-4 deb January 5
24159 94- 29 HJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 6
25455 87- 68 CC Meteor 2-16 deb January 6? Note 2
25532 98- 66 F Iridium 2 Delta r January 7
4583 70- 85 A Meteor 1-6 January 8
21148 91- 17 B Lacrosse 2 r January 8
25440 94- 29 ADV STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 8
25230 87- 68 BH Meteor 2-16 deb January 9? Note 2
25247 87- 68 BQ Meteor 2-16 deb January 9
25533 98- 62 C Sputnik 41 January 10
23066 89- 89 BM COBE deb January 11? Note 2
22896 83 -75 N Cosmos 1484 deb January 12
23974 94- 29 U STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 12
24532 94- 29 WG STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 13
25193 87- 68 U Meteor 2-16 deb January 14
25211 87- 68 AN Meteor 2-16 deb January 15
24038 94- 29 CK STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 19
25579 98- 74 C Iridium 11A CZ-2C r January 19
3564 68- 97 Q Cosmos 252 deb January 20
23972 94- 29 S STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 20
24542 94- 29 WS STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 20
24019 94- 29 BQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 21
25186 87- 68 M Meteor 2-16 deb January 21
24369 94- 29 PW STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 22
25065 97- 74 C ETS-7 r January 22
25217 87- 68 AU Meteor 2-16 deb January 22
24565 94- 29 XR STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 25
16187 85- 99 A Molniya 1-65 January 24?
19145 87- 20 BE Cosmos 1823 deb January 24
24405 94- 29 RJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 24
23075 89- 89 BW COBE deb January 27
5399 71- 67 L OV1-20/OV1-21 deb January 28
22440 92- 93 EH C 2227 Zenit deb February 1
25213 87- 68 AQ Meteor 2-16 deb February 3
23993 94- 29 AP STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 4
24228 94- 29 LB STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 4
25197 87- 68 Y Meteor 2-16 deb February 5
19771 89- 4 E Gorizont 17 aux mot February 7
14356 81- 53 HS Cosmos 1275 deb February 9
23529 95- 13 B Intlst 705 Centaur r February 9?
24270 94- 29 MV STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 10
25452 87- 68 BZ Meteor 2-16 deb February 10
22584 93- 17 D GPS 2-19 r2 February 11
175 61- 15 AZ Transit 4a r deb February 12
25207 87- 68 AJ Meteor 2-16 deb February 13
24224 94- 29 KX STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 14
15440 84-123 B NOAA 9 deb February 16
24430 94- 29 SJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 16
25182 87- 68 H Meteor 2-16 deb February 16
25562 98- 71 C SWAS Pegasus deb February 16
25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb February 22
16683 86- 31 A Molniya 3-28 February 23?
23907 96- 29 B NOSS 2-3 r February 25
25245 87- 68 BN Meteor 2-16 deb February 25
25472 98- 51 F Iridium 82 Delta r March 1
25166 98- 8 E Globalstar 1 Delta r March 17
7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r March 22
14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r March 27
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r April 9
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 April 13
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 April
25580 98- 74 D Iridm 11A Smart Disp April
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r May
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r May
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May
20352 89- 96 A Granat June
16609 86- 17 A Mir September Note 1
Notes
1. Mir was raised from a 355x344 km orbit to one of 367x354 km on
December 24. The predicted decay in September, above, is on the
basis that there are no further manoeuvres before drag brings it
down normally. In fact, I understand that at least one further
orbital boost is planned.
2. No recent elsets.
3. USSPACECOM has yet to confirm this decay.
4. #25120 was identified incorrectly as "Orbcomm 9 Pegasus r" in
my previous list.
5. SpaceCom claim that Cosmos 2335 decayed on January 1 at
04:33 UTC +-37 min.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/