After a long wait for a recent elset, this is the latest.. Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 210 x 143 km 1 25079U 97077C 98019.65751104 .05305625 -12563-5 21510-3 0 1329 2 25079 86.2676 99.0023 0051052 356.6858 3.4125 16.36129770 6673 ...which is 27 late against the "9124" SatEvo evolution I posted previously. My current prediction is for decay at January 20.33 +-0.1 day. Predicted elsets: Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 193 x 139 km 1 25079U 97077C 98019.90186326 .09100965 52230-1 25732-3 0 91328 2 25079 86.2663 98.8579 0040840 355.6003 4.3639 16.40022863 6711 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 187 x 138 km 1 25079U 97077C 98019.96286276 .10204638 69577-1 25768-3 0 91324 2 25079 86.2659 98.8217 0037864 355.3283 4.6365 16.41196945 6728 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 182 x 137 km 1 25079U 97077C 98020.02381603 .11695876 94762-1 25863-3 0 91322 2 25079 86.2655 98.7855 0034635 355.0561 4.9098 16.42527034 6735 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 175 x 135 km 1 25079U 97077C 98020.08471638 .13806941 13784+0 26024-3 0 91328 2 25079 86.2650 98.7492 0031076 354.7835 5.1842 16.44071913 6746 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 168 x 132 km 1 25079U 97077C 98020.14555430 .17066164 22196+0 26352-3 0 91328 2 25079 86.2644 98.7128 0027057 354.5106 5.4598 16.45934036 6755 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 158 x 129 km 1 25079U 97077C 98020.20631495 .22890922 42718+0 27126-3 0 91326 2 25079 86.2636 98.6764 0022332 354.2372 5.7371 16.48322374 6766 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 145 x 124 km 1 25079U 97077C 98020.26697095 .37043764 12244+1 29490-3 0 91328 2 25079 86.2626 98.6400 0016304 353.9632 6.0172 16.51803458 6774 Re-entry is most likely near the following northbound equator crossing at 07:51 UTC at 139 deg W longitude. However, the uncertainty (0.1 day = 2.5 hours) is such that re-entry is possible on the final orbit above which takes it across the equator at 06:24 UTC at 117 deg W, then just E of Los Angeles at 06:32 UTC moving almost due N towards Calgary in Canada at 06:36 UTC. Remember that 06:32 UTC on the 20th is 22:32 PST on the 19th. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/