SatEvo decay list #46 (issued 1998 January 17) Below are my latest decay predictions and analyses of recent decays. The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by February 28; other objects are included to March 31. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ In addition you can find current elsets (auto-updated every three hours or so) for the still-to-decay objects below, together with other objects of interest, including Mir, all of the Iridiums and recently launched/catalogued objects. Thanks to Neil Clifford, these elset files are now mirrored for anonymous FTP access from ftp://ftp.satellite.eu.org/pub/sat/mirrors/pickup/ # Designation Name ------- Decay ------- Predicted Actual? 24476 94- 29 TZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 6 24927 97- 48 C Long March 2 deb January 6.55 25132 98- 1 B Lunar P. Athena 2 r January 7.39 18999 63- 14 DT Westford Needles deb January 7 24536 94- 29 WL STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 9 17189 86- 19 AT Ariane 1 deb January 10 22848 92- 38 D Scout G-1 deb January 10 24518 94- 29 VS STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 14 23785 96- 8 B NEAR r January 17.65 8997 75- 4 CF Delta 1 deb January 18 24567 94- 29 XT STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 18 24119 94- 29 FS STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 20 25079 97- 77 C Iridium CZ-2C r January 20 22770 89- 89 AF COBE deb January 23? Note 1 22773 89- 89 AJ COBE deb January 26 12512 81- 54 A Molniya 3-16 January 31? Note 2 24220 94- 29 KT STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 1 24524 94- 29 VY STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 3 24885 97- 34 H Iridium deb February 5 25036 86- 17 MF Mir deb February 11 22628 93- 11 F M-3S2 deb February 17 24381 94- 29 QJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 17 24065 94- 29 DN STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 18 25037 86- 17 MG Mir deb February 19 25038 86- 17 MH Mir deb February 19 24427 94- 29 SF STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 21 25141 97- 82 G Iridium deb February 21 25080 97- 77 D Iridium CZ-2C deb February 24 23978 94- 29 Y STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 27 11055 78- 94 A Cosmos 1043 February 28 24078 94- 29 DZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 28 25066 97- 74 D TRMM deb March 1 25133 86- 17 MJ Mir deb March 4 19353 70- 25 PX Thorad Agena D deb March 5 22510 92- 93 GV SL-16 deb March 15? 22774 89- 89 AK COBE deb March 23 22855 89- 89 AS COBE dev March 24 18364 87- 78 F Ariane 3 deb March 29 Notes 1. #22770: No elsets since day 97364. 2. #12512: The perigee is below 90 km and is likely to be forced lower still by luni-solar perturbations. The decay date is a guess. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/