Bart de Pontieu wrote: >Dr. Hermann Boehnhardt even >wrote an article about fuel leaks in (I think) Astrophysics and Space Science >in the seventies, using data from Jean Meeus and Horst Koehnke (all in the >PPAS now), and assuming a leaky valve. One of his results was (I think) that >the acceleration is caused mainly by the effects of the mass loss on the >moments of inertia. Another result was that better time coverage was needed >to check for the effects of external torques. So, it is quite important to >have daily coverage of these accelerations if we want to improve on models. >Certain Soviet rockets do suffer from corrosion. I remember reading some- >where (Spaceflight ?) that there were several cases of fragmentation ascribed >to corrosive fuel (or oxydizer?) eating its way through pipes, which then >comes into contact with oxydizer with an explosion as a result. I will have >to look up where I read this. Maybe Jim Varney can shed some light on this, >since he has access to this professional article about fragmentation. In any >case, viewed the above, my guess would be that corrosion can be a reason for >certain accelerations. Just a guess ;-) Interesting... with the corrosion model, sooner or later there ought to be an outgassing torque which would apply a moment counter to the direction of rotation. I assume this because I think of corrosion as randomly appearing at different points around the R/B and releasing pro- pellant. Has a sudden deceleration of rotation ever been observed? With the leaky valve model, I would think once it leaks and gets the R/B tumbling that subsequent leaks would apply torques in the same direction and would cause the accelerations we all observe. Regarding the loss of mass/change in moment of inertia model, that makes sense for a very slow outgassing and a gradual acceleration. But it wouldn't explain a delta in semi-major axis/mean motion. Regarding the "History of Satellite Fragmentations," I'm still working on it... it's taking longer than I hoped due to time constraints. I checked the document and, interestingly, it is the Soviet *payloads* which cause the lion's share of fragmentations, not the R/B's. SL-3's are mentioned as spawning debris due to corrosion and environmental damage. An SL-14 (1978-100D) fragmented into 42 (trackable) pieces in 1988. The SL-8 of 1991-09J spawned 70 pieces of debris, but the author noted that this was the first SL-8 to fragment in 25 years and 370 missions. I would be careful to read too much into this -- maybe what we are seeing is a tendency for Soviet R/B's to leak, but not explode and fragment. Good Passes, Jim ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jim Varney | 121^ 23' 54" W, 38^ 27' 28" N | Sacramento, CA Civil Engineer | Elev. 20 ft. |jvarney@quiknet.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------