Re: Strongly increased chance of satellite reentries the coming days

From: Chris Kuethe via Seesat-l <seesat-l_at_satobs.org>
Date: Wed, 9 Feb 2022 13:08:44 -0800
Program could be used more expansively here to include physical design not
just software. They specifically call out "demisable" design, and I suspect
they're also including operational techniques such as initial deployment to
lower altitudes so that even if a spacecraft is catastrophically damaged or
non-responsive upon deployment it'll naturally decay very quickly. But this
will be a great chance to see how well this demisable design works.

I'd consider pyrotechnic destruct devices to be non-starters on the
regulatory front. If the NRO wants to put some thermite on their latest
bird for security reasons Vandenberg, ATF, FCC, and FAA would probably
approve it; I can't see the the spooky powers that be giving similar
approval for 12000 hand grenades to be in orbit, potentially creating more
space junk or posing a threat to other space assets. I'm not sure how you'd
reliably burn up a spacecraft in orbit so you get a cloud of soot rather
than a cloud of shrapnel...



On Wed, Feb 9, 2022 at 5:25 AM satcom ops via Seesat-l <seesat-l_at_satobs.org>
wrote:

> Hi
>
> According to the operators , they reckon they are programmed to  burn up
> before "re-entering".
>
> Not sure how that works unless they have some sort of pirotechnic device.
>
> "The deorbiting satellites pose zero collision risk with other
> satellites and by design demise upon atmospheric reentry — meaning no
> orbital debris is created and no satellite parts hit the ground," SpaceX
> wrote of the satellites' reentry.
>
> https://www.space.com/spacex-starlink-satellites-lost-geomagnetic-storm
>
> Regards
>
> John
>
>
> On 09/02/2022 12:35, Marco Langbroek via Seesat-l wrote:
> >
> > Helmets on everybody.... ;-)
> >
> > There is an increased chance of seeing a reentry the coming days. Some
> > 40 Starlink satellites from the very recent Feb 3 launch are coming down.
> >
> > The reason is a solar storm a day after the launch. This prevented the
> > satellites, initially deployed in a very low orbit, to raise their
> > orbits in time.
> >
> > So now almost all of them will reenter. It are uncontrolled reentries.
> >
> > Some have already reentered (e.g. the Puerto Rico event of Feb 7,
> > http://www.satobs.org/seesat/Feb-2022/0034.html): many more will over
> > the coming days.
> >
> > This is an update from SpaceX itself on it:
> >
> > --------------------------------------------------------------
> > https://www.spacex.com/updates/
> >
> > February 8, 2022
> > GEOMAGNETIC STORM AND RECENTLY DEPLOYED STARLINK SATELLITES
> >
> > On Thursday, February 3 at 1:13 p.m. EST, Falcon 9 launched 49 Starlink
> > satellites to low Earth orbit from Launch Complex 39A (LC-39A) at
> > Kennedy Space Center in Florida. Falcon 9’s second stage deployed the
> > satellites into their intended orbit, with a perigee of approximately
> > 210 kilometers above Earth, and each satellite achieved controlled
> flight.
> >
> > SpaceX deploys its satellites into these lower orbits so that in the
> > very rare case any satellite does not pass initial system checkouts it
> > will quickly be deorbited by atmospheric drag. While the low deployment
> > altitude requires more capable satellites at a considerable cost to us,
> > it’s the right thing to do to maintain a sustainable space environment.
> >
> > Unfortunately, the satellites deployed on Thursday were significantly
> > impacted by a geomagnetic storm on Friday. These storms cause the
> > atmosphere to warm and atmospheric density at our low deployment
> > altitudes to increase. In fact, onboard GPS suggests the escalation
> > speed and severity of the storm caused atmospheric drag to increase up
> > to 50 percent higher than during previous launches. The Starlink team
> > commanded the satellites into a safe-mode where they  would fly edge-on
> > (like a sheet of paper) to minimize drag—to effectively “take  cover
> > from the storm”—and continued to work closely with the Space Force’s
> > 18th  Space Control Squadron and LeoLabs to provide updates on the
> > satellites based on  ground radars.
> >
> > Preliminary analysis show the increased drag at the low altitudes
> > prevented the satellites from leaving safe-mode to begin orbit raising
> > maneuvers, and up to 40  of the satellites will reenter or already have
> > reentered the Earth’s atmosphere.  The deorbiting satellites pose zero
> > collision risk with other satellites and by  design demise upon
> > atmospheric reentry—meaning no orbital debris is created and  no
> > satellite parts hit the ground. This unique situation demonstrates the
> > great  lengths the Starlink team has gone to ensure the system is on the
> > leading edge  of on-orbit debris mitigation.
> > --------------------------------------------------------------
> >
> > - Marco
> >
> >
> >
> > -----
> > Dr Marco Langbroek  -  SatTrackCam Leiden, the Netherlands.
> > e-mail: sattrackcam_at_langbroek.org
> >
> > launchtower:    http://launchtower.langbroek.org
> > Station (b)log: http://sattrackcam.blogspot.com
> > Twitter:        _at_Marco_Langbroek
> > -----
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GDB has a 'break' feature; why doesn't it have 'fix' too?
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Received on Wed Feb 09 2022 - 15:09:36 UTC

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