A summary of today's update to my Decay Watch page, including the new
Cosmos rocket. Find further predicted elsets on the page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #17031 = 86- 78 A = Cosmos 1785
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Feb 26 11:56 Feb 27 08:56 +-1d 60.7 S 173.4 W
SatEvo Feb 26 17:20 Feb 27 10:39 +-5h 54.4 S 134.4 E
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1785 3164 x 89 km
1 17031U 86078A 02057.65260527 .96579886 -10715-4 19238-2 0 3196
2 17031 61.7003 224.7479 1920798 218.1509 126.4178 12.12367470112925
SatEvo prediction:
(..ends)
Cosmos 1785 1179 x 77 km
1 17031U 86078A 02058.33252224 3.46545983 45598+1 20211-2 0 93190
2 17031 61.5728 222.8670 0786075 218.4048 135.7322 14.80476333113018
Cosmos 1785 849 x 76 km
1 17031U 86078A 02058.39923107 4.85433211 11028+2 21500-2 0 93199
2 17031 61.5570 222.6276 0565477 218.4384 137.3961 15.34487791113025
Note: The prediction is very uncertain. I put the decay far to the S
of Australia following perigee on the last of the predicted orbits.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24779 = 97- 18 A = Minisat-01
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Feb 26 12:37 Feb 27 00:05 +-8h 29.1 S 101.0 W
SatEvo Feb 26 17:35 Feb 27 00:10 +-3h 23.2 S 146.8 W
Latest elset:
Minisat-01 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 d 2.6 192 x 189 km
1 24779U 97018A 02057.46850197 .08781219 -40450-4 16367-2 0 2585
2 24779 150.9276 317.9290 0002272 216.7925 143.2766 16.30904419268548
SatEvo prediction:
Minisat-01 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 d 2.6 170 x 167 km
1 24779U 97018A 02057.77371980 .19372580 24342+0 15092-2 0 92585
2 24779 150.9262 320.3411 0002002 220.6831 139.3019 16.39047267268597
Minisat-01 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 d 2.6 162 x 160 km
1 24779U 97018A 02057.83455085 .25674130 47416+0 14311-2 0 92584
2 24779 150.9257 320.8259 0001818 221.4648 138.5212 16.41744655268601
Minisat-01 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 d 2.6 152 x 150 km
1 24779U 97018A 02057.89526339 .40420061 13142+1 12409-2 0 92586
2 24779 150.9251 321.3118 0001568 222.2487 137.7391 16.45600391268619
Minisat-01 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 d 2.6 129 x 128 km
1 24779U 97018A 02057.95577688 1.54097695 22475+2 90833-3 0 92583
2 24779 150.9241 321.8000 0001042 223.0360 136.9559 16.54052507268627
Note: The latest elset (more than six hours old) shows this running
22 sec early against yesterday's prediction. I have this decaying
westbound over the SE Pacific.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27383 = 02- 8 B = Cosmos 2387 Soyuz-U rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Feb 26 05:19 Mar 1 04:12 +-2d 13.2 S 165.3 E
SatEvo Feb 26 17:45 Mar 1 02:41 +-18h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2387 Soyuz-U r 332 x 163 km
1 27383U 02008B 02057.46389009 .03444070 57726-5 97310-3 0 84
2 27383 67.1183 41.0363 0128199 93.0273 268.5484 16.09781358 120
Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 57 deg N in the
evening sky and leaves eclipse while southbound near 22 deg S before
dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Feb 26 2002 - 13:00:37 EST