A summary of today's update to my Decay Watch page, including new decayer #21141 = Astra 1B Ariane 44LP rocket (though with no current elsets)... _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #6221 = 72- 76 D = OPS 8180 Atlas F burner deb Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Feb 6 09:25 Feb 7 09:36 +-15h 36.9 N 173.9 W SatEvo Feb 6 19:40 Feb 7 07:52 +-11h 0.0 143.2 W Latest elset: OPS 8180 AtBrnr deb D 221 x 210 km 1 06221U 72076D 02037.46928323 .07501484 31345-5 35125-2 0 5110 2 06221 98.5527 110.8534 0008770 295.9394 64.0696 16.21558625574822 SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page. (..ends) OPS 8180 AtBrnr deb D 163 x 157 km 1 06221U 72076D 02038.20634710 .39566574 10961+1 22415-2 0 95116 2 06221 98.5457 111.8356 0004055 293.0014 66.9558 16.42236197574948 OPS 8180 AtBrnr deb D 143 x 139 km 1 06221U 72076D 02038.26717086 .98674246 78976+1 13450-2 0 95110 2 06221 98.5438 111.9185 0002711 292.7533 67.2181 16.49419707574951 Note: My current prediction is for this to decay near the northbound equator crossing over the Pacific at the end of the final SatEvo-predicted orbit, above. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #11269 = 79- 12 B = Cosmos 1077 rocket Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Feb 2 16:03 Feb 6 04:44 +-2d 8.0 S 111.8 E SatEvo Feb 6 19:50 Feb 13 08:08 +-2d Latest elset: Cosmos 1077 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 6.6 251 x 240 km 1 11269U 79012B 02037.59212996 .01085226 72279-3 11413-2 0 7740 2 11269 81.2116 318.2591 0007721 157.2863 202.8720 16.10480106263344 SatEvo prediction: (none at present) _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #21141 = 91- 15 C = Astra 1B Ariane 44LP r Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Feb 6 18:39 Feb 10 17:31 +-7d 0.0 N 149.0 W SatEvo Feb 6 20:10 Feb 10 +-5d Latest elset: Astra 1B Ariane 44LP r 2123 x 144 km 1 21141U 91015C 02029.47695693 .05787188 -18148-4 18160-2 0 1415 2 21141 6.8993 335.0166 1317464 87.7942 287.2184 13.33579254147627 SatEvo prediction: (none made) Note: With no fresh elsets issued for 8 days, it is surprising that SpaceCom has posted a decay notice albeit with a very large time uncertainty. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #23009 = 94- 10 B = Dummy mass Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Feb 6 18:46 Feb 7 17:41 +-14h 1.0 S 150.4 E SatEvo Feb 6 19:55 Feb 8 03:52 +-11h Latest elset: Dummy mass 537 x 117 km 1 23009U 94010B 02037.67657904 .13979619 -74774-5 33203-3 0 8515 2 23009 28.2775 202.4748 0312457 278.5675 77.8933 15.81251445126738 SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page. Note: There is a rather large difference between the two decay predictions. _____________________________________________________________________ Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum) Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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