See my Decay Watch page for more details of this prediction, and thanks to Bjoern for his earlier posting. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #16112 = 85- 91 A = Molniya 3-26 Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Feb 21 19:46 Feb 21 22:43 +-3h 50.9 S 114.0 W SatEvo Feb 21 21:25 Feb 22 00:18 +-100m 53.7 S 143.7 W Latest elset: Molniya 3-26 1211 x 77 km 1 16112U 85091A 01052.82418860 .99999999 52439-5 13332-2 0 354 2 16112 62.5970 57.9892 0807373 265.8366 84.9532 14.75451501113432 SatEvo prediction: Molniya 3-26 1104 x 77 km 1 16112U 85091A 01052.89216061 2.44635179 23082+1 13527-2 0 90351 2 16112 62.5879 57.7632 0736819 265.8512 85.7015 14.92482861113447 Molniya 3-26 883 x 76 km 1 16112U 85091A 01052.95869735 3.10547729 46826+1 14071-2 0 90353 2 16112 62.5730 57.5310 0588386 265.8664 87.3911 15.28925474113452 Molniya 3-26 601 x 74 km 1 16112U 85091A 01053.02354679 4.73680167 14001+2 15205-2 0 90353 2 16112 62.5593 57.2907 0392300 265.8825 89.6254 15.77682288113469 Note: The latest elset shows this running 27 minutes early against yesterday's prediction. The prediction continues to be very uncertain - indeed the drag near perigee may be enough to make it self-luminous near those times, and the stress must be such that it might break up near any of the remaining perigee passes. My estimate is for decay near perigee on the penultimate of these predicted revs, northbound over the S Pacific. If it survives, there is pass across eastern North America from Mobile, Alabama, at 00:43 UTC to Ottawa/Montreal at 00:48. _____________________________________________________________________ Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Feb 21 2001 - 14:04:33 PST