Mir Splashdown Official Notices to Airmen

From: Peter Hunter (funta@ozemail.com.au)
Date: Sun Feb 04 2001 - 12:42:45 PST

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    Personally, I'm just waiting until Russia notifies the worldwide aviation
    organisations of Mir's demise.
    
    Prior to shuttle launches, a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) is circulated
    worldwide of the form "shuttle tank debris re-entering within an area of
    100nm each side of a line defined by (lat/long-lat/long-lat/long etc)". The
    NOTAM also advises a period of applicability in UTC. That I have seen, this
    seems to fall in one of two areas: either SSW of Hawaii, or in a more
    easterly central area of the Pacific.
    
    There is a surprising amount of commercial air traffic crossing the Pacific,
    and in the early morning local time S of Fiji I'd expect flights between
    LA-Sydney, LA-Auckland, and LA-Melbourne, that I'm aware of, by several
    airlines (Qantas, United, and Air New Zealand).
    
    These aircraft most of the time do not follow fixed published airways tracks
    but fly tracks optimized for the winds on the day. At the flight planning
    stage account will be taken of the NOTAM and avoidance factored in, but it's
    still possible we'll have aviation witnesses to the event.
    
    If I see such a NOTAM issued I will forward to SeeSat asap....
    
    Peter Hunter
    Sydney, Australia
    
    
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