A strong geomagnetic storm has been raging today, increasing the atmospheric density at satellite heights and tending to bring decay dates forwards. This is on top of elevated density levels that we have been enjoying since about February 7. #9854 = 77- 15 B = Cosmos 895 r My current prediction is for decay at Feb 13 23:58 +-11h, while SpaceCom says Feb 14 07:07 +-1d in a forecast issued at 11:25 UTC today. #25769 = 99- 30 B = Starshine If the current drag rates are sustained, Starshine could decay as early as February 17. I am banking on rates falling, but how much and how quickly I can only guess. There is still no official SpaceCom prediction, but my current estimate is for decay at Feb 18 13:58 +-1.6d, in good agreement with Harro's latest prediction. Check http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more info. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Feb 12 2000 - 13:21:50 PST