SatEvo decay list #93

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Feb 12 2000 - 08:41:23 PST

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    SatEvo decay list #93  (issued 2000 February 12)
    
    This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is
    posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the
    Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
    Information about SeeSat-L is available at
       http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    
    In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the
    published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
    Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their
    decay by 2000 March 31, although some larger and/or more interesting
    decayers are included beyond that date.
    
    This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo
    page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the
    Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for
    other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, Starshine and 
    all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large 
    file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,000 
    satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address.
    
    I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger 
    decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    This includes my predicted elsets for these objects.
    
    With special interest in the decay of the Starshine satellite, I have 
    a Starshine Decay Page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/starshine/
    with my updated prediction for this object.
    
    
       #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (2000) -----
                                                Predicted   Actual?
    
     25220   87- 68 AX  Meteor 2-16 deb                 January 30.5
     25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r                    February  1.41
     24614   94- 29 ZS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February  2
     26068   00-  5 B   Progress M1-1 Soyuz r          February  2.93
     24148   94- 29 GX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February  4
     22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2              February  6.08
     22890   83- 75 G   Cosmos 1484 deb                February  6.2
     24331   94- 29 NG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February  7
     26043   99- 73 B   C 2368 Molniya-M r1            February  7.59
     22822   93- 11 H   Astro D M-3S2 deb              February  9
      3343   68- 66 E   Explr 39 Scout deb             February  9.9 Note 1
      9854   77- 15 B   Cosmos 895 r          February 14
     19304   61- 15 MD  Transit 4A deb        February 14?
     17124   86- 19 U   Spot 1 Ariane deb     February 15
     24054   94- 29 DB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February 15
     25911   99- 49 E   Glblstar 33 Soyuz r   February 17
     24528   94- 29 WC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February 18
     25769   99- 30 B   Starshine             February 19
     25752   99- 28 H   USA 144 deb           February 21
     24831   94- 61 E   Cosmos 2292 deb       February 27
     22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r            March  1
     24627   94- 29 AAF STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  7
     20680   74- 89 FE  Thorad Delta 1 deb       March  8
     24343   94- 29 NU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  8
     24481   94- 29 UE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  8
       179   61- 15 BD  Transit 4A deb           March 11
     25947   99- 58 E   Glblstar 31 Soyuz r      March 11
     23887   96- 34 F   Gorizont 32 aux motor    March 19
     25905   95- 58 J   Cosmos 2322 Zenit deb    March 19
     24112   94- 29 FK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 24
      4134   69- 82 CW  Thorad Agena D deb       March 25
     24143   94- 29 GS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 25
     24230   94- 29 LD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 26
     11331   79- 32 A   Cosmos 1093              April  4
     25965   99- 62 E   Glblstar 29 Soyuz r      April  8
     20919   90- 93 B   Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r    April 11
     15977   85- 74 A   Molniya 1-64             April?
     20966   90-104 A   Cosmos 2106              April 29
     10135   77- 61 B   Cosmos 925 r              June
     23502   95-  8 B   Cosmos 2306 r             July
     10860   78- 45 A   Cosmos 1005             August
     11268   79- 12 A   Cosmos 1077             August
     11629   79- 99 A   Cosmos 1145          September
     23941   96- 37 B   TOMS r                November
     25123   97- 85 A   Early Bird             October
    
    
    Note
    
    1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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