Decay Forecast STARSHINE

From: Harro.Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Wed Feb 09 2000 - 06:04:59 PST

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    Report time 14:00 UTC
    
    1999-030B (#25769) STARSHINE
    
    MPM shows based on ELSET 00039.743... and a mean data set from four preceding
    ELSETs an decay on       18 February, 07:30 UTC +/- 18 hours
    
    Important is the solar flux (F 10.7 cm) over the next 10 days. My input is 172, 
    the NOAA/USAF forecast for the 28 days mean value.
    An independent calculation with the NASA ENVNET decay prediction program - it 
    based on a more sophisticated solar flux model - shows also a result well 
    within the above mentioned error margin.
    This message is the first of a daily update. Near the decay date I will also 
    issue reentry times and positions. Gil Moore, head of the STARSHINE project, told 
    me that SpaceCom will released from now until to eight STARSHINE ELSETs per 
    day.
    
    Harro
     
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin, Germany
    
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