Decay watch: February 14

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 14 Feb 1999 17:07:24 +0000

There being no further elsets or decay warnings for #13103 = OPS 2849
deb, I am omitting this for the moment.
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Object: #19771 = 89- 4 E = Gorizont 17 aux motor

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Feb 11 15:15     Feb 15 11:49 +-18h        46.4 N    41.6 W
SpaceCom   Feb 12 04:41     Feb 15 05:01 +-2d         42.6 S   106.5 W
SpaceCom   Feb 13 05:45     Feb 15 05:59 +-1d         27.8 N   111.7 E
SpaceCom   Feb 14 08:49     Feb 15 08:19 +-17h        13.2 S    86.8 W

SatEvo     Feb 11 20:15     Feb 16.0 +-0.9d
SatEvo     Feb 12 20:50     Feb 15 11:29 +-15h        22 N     101 W
SatEvo     Feb 13 16:40     Feb 15 06:56 +-8h         24 N      29 W
SatEvo     Feb 14 17:00     Feb 15 11:20 +-5h         10 N     112 W

Current elset:
Gorizont 17 aux motor                            417 x 132 km
1 19771U 89004E   99045.54436549  .16749864  11596-4  74757-3 0  4981
2 19771  46.3552 199.4058 0214052  29.2676 332.0113 15.99957187162940

SatEvo prediction:
Gorizont 17 aux motor                            376 x 131 km
1 19771U 89004E   99045.79352557  .17282403  49249-1  67274-3 0 94984
2 19771  46.3532 197.9184 0184430  30.7566 330.3114 16.07534520162980
Gorizont 17 aux motor                            325 x 129 km
1 19771U 89004E   99046.04134898  .22637946  10518+0  68441-3 0 94983
2 19771  46.3505 196.4204 0148129  32.2563 328.6411 16.17261524163024
Gorizont 17 aux motor                            274 x 127 km
1 19771U 89004E   99046.22609063  .32024071  28266+0  71152-3 0 94986
2 19771  46.3477 195.2882 0112183  33.3900 327.3126 16.27085361163055
Gorizont 17 aux motor                            226 x 124 km
1 19771U 89004E   99046.34850908  .50875682  99891+0  76814-3 0 94989
2 19771  46.3452 194.5275 0077874  34.1518 326.3469 16.36748803163075
Gorizont 17 aux motor                            187 x 120 km
1 19771U 89004E   99046.40937860  .88305786  43631+1  87476-3 0 94981
2 19771  46.3434 194.1446 0051161  34.5353 325.7960 16.44651948163085

Note: The latest elset shows this running 82 sec late against
yesterday's prediction.
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/