Re: Decay watch: Molniya 3-16

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sat, 7 Feb 1998 19:54:51 +0000

This has been on its best behaviour since my last posting. The latest
elset is ...
Molniya 3-16                                     3861 x 81 km
1 12512U 81054A   98038.59961372  .98606533  00000-0  15362-2 0  1147
2 12512  62.1289  83.2329 2263310 273.6835  61.0940 11.37973251124218
... showing it 78 seconds late on an extension of the "9104" evolution I
posted yesterday. At the end of yesterday's prediction, it had been 14
seconds late.

Another analysis leads to decay about February 9.2 (+-0.3 day).

New predictions:
Molniya 3-16                                     3638 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98038.77405310  .75785635  11642+0  11586-2 0 91144
2 12512  62.1288  82.8754 2158333 273.7190  62.0464 11.61103467124232
Molniya 3-16                                     3514 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98038.85984342  .78937492  12971+0  11778-2 0 91142
2 12512  62.1288  82.6941 2098706 273.7369  62.6826 11.74372594124245
Molniya 3-16                                     3388 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98038.94465975  .82401282  14366+0  11994-2 0 91146
2 12512  62.1288  82.5108 2037466 273.7551  63.3376 11.88051473124252
Molniya 3-16                                     3261 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98039.02849427  .85995792  13675+0  12195-2 0 91147
2 12512  62.1276  82.3257 1974490 273.7735  64.0125 12.02174352124262
Molniya 3-16                                     3132 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98039.11133951  .89614029  15492+0  12371-2 0 91145
2 12512  62.1176  82.1386 1909896 273.7921  64.7063 12.16717074124275
Molniya 3-16                                     3002 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98039.19319021  .93638407  17458+0  12572-2 0 91145
2 12512  62.1093  81.9493 1843571 273.8111  65.4199 12.31709701124282
Molniya 3-16                                     2871 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98039.27403954  .98147641  19862+0  12799-2 0 91145
2 12512  62.1008  81.7578 1775294 273.8304  66.1561 12.47207508124297
Molniya 3-16                                     2737 x 82 km
1 12512U 81054A   98039.35387831 1.03243955  22850+0  13058-2 0 91141
2 12512  62.0919  81.5639 1704799 273.8501  66.9177 12.63276817124304

Alan
-- 
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