Re: {MPML} Chang'e 4 launch schedule?

From: Scott Tilley via Seesat-l <seesat-l_at_satobs.org>
Date: Sat, 8 Dec 2018 15:34:19 -0800
Although slightly off topic as the observations where by radio, CE4 was 
acquired by radio using Bill's search TLEs.

https://twitter.com/coastal8049/status/1071523463255384064

Later a maneuver was witnessed.

https://twitter.com/coastal8049/status/1071543722762952704

Here's the radio observation corrected TLE for today, MA, RAAN and MM 
adjusted:

1 89988U          18342.74919926  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    00
2 89988  29.4496 350.0302 9771803 141.8181  24.9221 0.08563329    06
# 20181208.89-20181208.91, 266 measurements, 0.005 kHz rms

Nice work Bill!

Regards,
Scott Tilley

ROBERTS CREEK 1:
8049 ST 49.4348 -123.6685 40. Scott Tilley
ROBERTS CREEK 2:
8048 ST 49.4175 -123.6420 1. Scott Tilley

Keep tabs on COSPAR 8049 on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/coastal8049?lang=en


On 12/8/18 9:35 AM, Bill Gray via Seesat-l wrote:
>
>
> On 08/12/2018 09.45, tme_at_asteroidinitiatives.com [mpml] wrote:
>> On their Weibo account, China Aerospace Science and Technology
>> Corporation (CASC) confirmed that #ChangE4 has successfully separated
>> from the upper stage and is now in lunar injection orbit, with perigee
>> at 200 km and apogee at ~420,000 km.
>> https://www.weibo.com/5386897742/H6cRnxOac?from=page_1006065386897742_profile&wvr=6&mod=weibotime 
>>
>> …
>>
>> https://twitter.com/Yeqzids/status/1071244045614075904
>
>    And also stated that it'll enter orbit around the moon at
> 15:00 UTC on December 11.  That really constrains the possible
> orbit,  and shows that my solution was far off,  by about 15
> degrees.  We're now looking at an elongation from the sun of
> about 45 degrees,  so I don't really expect optical confirmation.
> (At least,  not until after the booster passes the moon and is
> seen sometime later.  This will be similar to the orbits I got,
> in hindsight,  for Chang'es 2 and 3 on their way to the moon :
> I used the astrometry from well after the lunar flyby to figure
> out the earth/moon leg.)
>
>    I've updated the TLEs (same URL as before).  The new orbit
> hits the moon at 15:00 UTC on the 11th,  because I don't know
> what the actual planned orbit is.  Assuming it does a close
> flyby,  my trajectory will be a little more than a quarter
> degree in error at that point,  making it a near-miss.
>
> -- Bill
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Received on Sat Dec 08 2018 - 17:35:12 UTC

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