Decay Alert Tonight for South Africa

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@rogers.com)
Date: Tue Dec 28 2004 - 15:20:18 EST

  • Next message: Ted Molczan: "RE: Decay Alert Tonight for South Africa - revised"

    I have my doubts, but USSTRATCOM is predicting that 26897 2001-037F will decay
    while southbound over S. Africa on 2004 Dec 28 at 22:42 UTC, as appended. The
    track passes near Greg Roberts.
    
    I suspect the object will begin to decay a bit later, near 23:07 UTC, as it
    approaches the equator northbound.
    
    In any case, it is worth a look at the ground track to see whether or not it
    passes you. There are also N. American passes, which might be worth checking.
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
    Decay Prediction Text Query Response
    2004/12/28 20:11:45 Session time remaining: 01:31:53
    
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
                           Query time: 2004/12/28 20:11:45                        
                          Object Order: Predicted Decay Date                      
                        Notice Order: Notice preparation time                     
                           TLE Order: Catalog number-epoch                        
                               Number of Satellites: 1                            
    
    Decay: Decay Time          N Lat  E Long       RCS
    CatNo Intl. Desig. Source Common Name                          Prepared
    ----- ------------ ------ ------------------------- -------------------
    
    Decay: 2004/12/28 22:42:00  -32.6   17.8    1.0559
    26897 2001-037F    CIS    SL-12 R/B(AUX MOTOR)      2004/12/28 16:40:00
    
    
    PREPARATION DATE TIME:  281640ZDEC04
    1.  26897/2001-037F   /SL-12 R/B(AUX MOTOR)    /ROCKET BODY/ CIS
    2.  24 AUG 2001
    3.  REV   7417/DESCENDING/28 DEC 2242Z
    4.  32.6 DEG S    17.8 DEG E
    5.  DECAY WINDOW IS PLUS OR MINUS    04 HOURS.
    6.  INCLINATION  046.9 DEGREES.
    TRAJECTORY PRIOR TO DECAY (DEG):
    D/TIME 363/2127Z    363/2142Z    363/2157Z    363/2212Z    363/2227Z
    LAT.      -42.7         -3.8         38.0         39.7         -1.2
    E LONG    120.4        171.9        218.3        297.3        345.1
    7.  NEXT REPORT    2 HOURS BEFORE DECAY.
    
    
    SL-12 R/B(AUX MOTOR)
    1 26897U 01037F   04363.78366279  .63014919  13139-4  63326-3 0  2177
    2 26897  46.9555 239.6804 0120161 353.8349   6.3328 16.31186915 74134
    
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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