Re: Decay watch: 2002 December 24

From: Björn Gimle (b_gimle@algonet.se)
Date: Thu Dec 26 2002 - 14:11:48 EST

  • Next message: Harro Zimmer: "Decay Forecast Tsyklon RB"

    My rough estimate is for decay around 00:30 UTC 2002-12-27
    
    There will be a pass Arizona - N.Dakota 20:10-16 UTC, Oregon - Washington
    21:41-43
    
    The last (?) orbit has shadow entry shortly after 23:16 UTC at 105 deg.W,
    63 deg.N and continues in shadow over northernmost Labrador, Canary
    Islands, 400 km SW of Cape Town 23:49, 400 km NW of Sydney 00:14
    (daylight), S of Kodiak Island 00:39 (sunlit) and again in shadow over
    Canada until 00:53 UTC.
    
    SL-11 R/B                                        149 x 143 km
    1 03019U 67104B   02360.77376910  .10444050  10671+0  18211-3 0 93476
    2 03019  64.0052 265.9320 0004720 273.8366  86.1094 16.47640465854409
    SL-11 R/B                                        145 x 139 km
    1 03019U 67104B   02360.83443970  .12938180  17305+0  17621-3 0 93473
    2 03019  64.0047 265.6870 0004281 273.8256  86.1255 16.49046572854411
    SL-11 R/B                                        140 x 135 km
    1 03019U 67104B   02360.89505211  .17382173  33393+0  17557-3 0 93479
    2 03019  64.0042 265.4417 0003737 273.8145  86.1427 16.50854115854427
    SL-11 R/B                                        132 x 128 km
    1 03019U 67104B   02360.95558555  .28532824  10262+1  19221-3 0 93478
    2 03019  64.0035 265.1960 0002988 273.8035  86.1623 16.53502776854439
    SL-11 R/B                                        113 x 111 km
    1 03019U 67104B   02361.01597674 1.66367552  32531+2  44802-3 0 93475
    2 03019  64.0023 264.9494 0001338 273.7924  86.1922 16.60459293854445
    
    ----- Original Message -----
    > A summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page, possibly the
    last
    > one until December 30 or so.. It appears that OIG's feed of fresh
    elsets
    > for this, and most (if not all) other objects, stalled about 22 hours
    > ago.
    > _____________________________________________________________________
    > Object: #3019 = 67-104 B = Cosmos 185 rocket
    >
    > Decay predictions:
    > Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
    >                 UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    > SCC        Dec 23 04:58     Dec 27 05:31 +-2h         5.2 N    96.1 W
    > SatEvo     Dec 24 14:20     Dec 26 18:24 +-22h
    >
    
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