A summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page, possibly the last
one until December 30 or so.. It appears that OIG's feed of fresh elsets
for this, and most (if not all) other objects, stalled about 22 hours
ago.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #3019 = 67-104 B = Cosmos 185 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 23 04:58 Dec 27 05:31 +-2h 5.2 N 96.1 W
SatEvo Dec 24 14:20 Dec 26 18:24 +-22h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 185 r 6.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 v 8.6 203 x 194 km
1 03019U 67104B 02357.59333211 .01621160 79479-5 43269-3 0 3310
2 03019 64.0127 278.5372 0007208 284.4675 75.6066 16.27870250853882
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27448 = 02- 29 F = Galaxy 3C aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 23 17:24 Dec 23 15:17 +-7h 41.2 N 16.6 E
SatEvo Dec 24 14:35 Dec 23 13:34 +-4h 46.1 N 20.1 E
Final elset:
Galaxy 3C aux motor 2210 x 104 km
1 27448U 02029F 02357.12860325 .99999999 40318-4 46552-2 0 2328
2 27448 46.6316 215.0945 1397424 70.3178 304.2501 13.27301512 5011
Note: I have this decaying near northern apex on the following SatEvo-
predicted rev:
Galaxy 3C aux motor 710 x 86 km
1 27448U 02029F 02357.54901821 6.24658852 30149+2 42711-2 0 92325
2 27448 46.5525 213.1695 0460471 72.2239 292.7469 15.56411605 5073
This puts it eastbound over Romania on a track across Europe from
Nantes, France, at 13:30 UTC to Zurich, Switzerland, at 13:32, and
Bucharest, Romania, at 13:35. SCC puts the decay in the same area one
rev later and has a similarily large uncertainty.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Dec 24 2002 - 09:58:46 EST