A summary from my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25694 = 99- 21 B = Uosat cover
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 12 09:52 Dec 12 09:18 +-35m 54.4 S 169.3 E
SatEvo Dec 12 19:45 Dec 12 08:09 +-30m 21.1 N 121.8 W
Final elsets:
Uosat cover 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 d 3.5 166 x 163 km
1 25694U 99021B 02346.27482644 .30406365 77776-5 21521-2 0 2542
2 25694 64.4997 71.0519 0002415 295.5149 64.6056 16.40638445199161
Uosat cover 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 d 3.5 705 x -332 km
1 25694U 99021B 02346.33561763 .43363367 00000-0 13857+0 0 2548
2 25694 64.2315 70.7268 0790569 290.8810 48.0477 16.32473860199170
Note: The final elset is clearly erroneous. Ignoring it, I get a decay
rather close in time to the epoch of the final elset with the object
northbound to the W of Mexico on a track that would take it to Yuma,
Arizona, at 08:12 UTC and onwards over Utah and Wyoming to North
Dakota (08:17).
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26215 = 99- 57 DD = CBERS 1 CZ-4 rocket debris
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 11 19:43 Dec 13 19:56 +-1d 59.3 S 137.2 E
SatEvo Dec 12 20:00 Dec 13 14:19 +-12h 25.4 N 157.8 W
Latest elset:
CBERS 1 r DbDD 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.2 294 x 273 km
1 26215U 99057DD 02345.97543102 .03293612 14197-1 93674-2 0 9542
2 26215 98.5395 140.9606 0015663 324.9569 35.0665 15.96663235148747
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
CBERS 1 r DbDD 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.2 203 x 196 km
1 26215U 99057DD 02347.46968725 .39734843 92357+0 11456-1 0 99543
2 26215 98.5285 142.8866 0005304 319.1837 40.7766 16.27484635148980
CBERS 1 r DbDD 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.2 185 x 180 km
1 26215U 99057DD 02347.53106605 .72312253 34037+1 11412-1 0 99540
2 26215 98.5266 142.9683 0003962 318.9384 41.0317 16.33912029148996
Note: SCC is still only releasing one elset per day for this, which
makes my analysis more difficult. My estimate is for decay just after
passing over the Hawaiian Is on the orbit after the final predicted
one above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27517 = 02- 42 C = DRTS H-2A r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 11 22:53 Dec 11 22:44 +-7m 30.0 S 79.0 E
SatEvo Dec 12 20:15 Dec 11 22:28 +-20m 14.5 S 11.3 E
Final elset:
DRTS r DPAdpt 1.5 3.0 0.0 6.0 d 5 156 x 151 km
1 27517U 02042C 02345.90096935 .57055263 -49874-5 20186-2 0 1627
2 27517 30.3822 223.0871 0004276 195.9065 164.5322 16.44701409 14452
Note: I show this decaying following the southbound equator crossing on
the above orbit, putting it just to the W of Angola.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Dec 12 2002 - 15:56:59 EST