Decay watch: 2002 December 11

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Dec 11 2002 - 15:01:38 EST

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    Taken as usual from my updated Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25694 = 99- 21 B = Uosat cover
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec 11 09:06     Dec 12 06:39 +-13h        6.1 N   105.7 W
    SatEvo     Dec 11 19:30     Dec 12 05:57 +-4h        25.0 S    92.0 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       228 x 210 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02345.59887432  .07425376  75716-5  37179-2 0  2477
    2 25694  64.5065  73.6347 0013855 331.7198  27.5078 16.20143388199057
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       212 x 197 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02345.84551038  .12897825  86868-1  41940-2 0 92479
    2 25694  64.5049  72.6917 0011510 331.6391  28.2981 16.25481837199095
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       195 x 183 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02346.02977099  .21355378  28331+0  40300-2 0 92479
    2 25694  64.5028  71.9816 0009110 331.5784  28.3719 16.31499926199129
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       186 x 175 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02346.09101518  .28227827  53100+0  39491-2 0 92476
    2 25694  64.5018  71.7440 0008003 331.5582  28.3982 16.34492833199131
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       174 x 165 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02346.15212758  .43514828  14526+1  38308-2 0 92475
    2 25694  64.5005  71.5057 0006593 331.5379  28.4261 16.38722213199149
    Uosat cover      1.0  0.0  0.0  8.5 d  3.4       149 x 144 km
    1 25694U 99021B   02346.21302681 1.32631713  18322+2  25429-2 0 92478
    2 25694  64.4983  71.2662 0004080 331.5175  28.4602 16.47202521199150
    
    Note: My current estimate is for this to decay southbound over the
    Indian Ocean on the last of my predicted revs, above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26215 = 99- 57 DD = CBERS 1 CZ-4 rocket debris
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec 10 20:17     Dec 13 13:41 +-2d        55.8 S    23.8 E
    SatEvo     Dec 11 19:40     Dec 13 23:44 +-21h
    
    Latest elset:
    CBERS 1 r DbDD   1.0  1.0  0.0  7.5 d  1.2       313 x 293 km
    1 26215U 99057DD  02344.97043257  .02701814  51170-2  97051-2 0  9449
    2 26215  98.5384 139.6915 0015160 320.9549  39.0622 15.89810737148581
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay watch page.
    
    Note: Only a few elsets are appearing for this object which enters
    eclipse while northbound near 14 deg S at ~04:00 local time and
    leaves eclipse southbound near 66 deg N at ~17:00 local time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27517 = 02- 42 C = DRTS H-2A r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Dec 11 17:39     Dec 11 23:12 +-3h         7.9 N   168.7 E
    SatEvo     Dec 11 19:50     Dec 11 23:09 +-2h         8.6 N   170.2 E
    
    Latest elset:
    DRTS r DPAdpt    1.5  3.0  0.0  6.0 d    5       192 x 187 km
    1 27517U 02042C   02345.71819161  .12252630 -48341-5  22407-2 0  1602
    2 27517  30.3829 224.5180 0004186 267.8975  92.8933 16.31166041 14428
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    DRTS r DPAdpt    1.5  3.0  0.0  6.0 d    5       183 x 178 km
    1 27517U 02042C   02345.77915056  .24178033  36585+0  31056-2 0 91604
    2 27517  30.3824 224.0434 0003754 268.6460  91.3109 16.34596125 14431
    DRTS r DPAdpt    1.5  3.0  0.0  6.0 d    5       173 x 169 km
    1 27517U 02042C   02345.84014014  .33470354  77122+0  29333-2 0 91604
    2 27517  30.3818 223.5665 0003222 269.3981  90.5649 16.38042938 14443
    DRTS r DPAdpt    1.5  3.0  0.0  6.0 d    5       159 x 155 km
    1 27517U 02042C   02345.90097275  .60197596  31220+1  27057-2 0 91606
    2 27517  30.3809 223.0880 0002481 270.1528  89.8187 16.43367461 14456
    
    Note: I have this decaying following the northbound equator crossing
    over the western Pacific at the end of the final predicted rev, above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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