Two new decayers and a couple on the verge of decaying as I made this
latest update to my Decay Watch page. There are more predicted elsets on
that page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #17131 = 86- 19 AA = Spot 1 rocket deb AA
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 8 05:58 Dec 8 04:11 +-8m 79.3 N 123.9 W
SatEvo Dec 8 15:50 Dec 8 02:44 +-1h 79.7 N 171.4 E
Final elset:
Spot 1 r AA 2.6 0.0 0.0 6.3 d 2.9 195 x 182 km
1 17131U 86019AA 02341.97541273 .25099495 26973-5 49823-2 0 4410
2 17131 97.8114 60.4177 0009712 290.4489 69.5774 16.31438534718748
Note: I show this decaying over the Arctic near northern apex on the
following predicted orbit:
Spot 1 r AA 2.6 0.0 0.0 6.3 d 2.9 143 x 138 km
1 17131U 86019AA 02342.09760296 3.79295083 50000+2 49275-2 0 94419
2 17131 97.8064 60.5684 0003635 289.9456 70.0152 16.49638796718761
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22658 = 93- 32 B = GPS 2-20 Delta 2 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 8 15:37 Dec 8 18:04 +-3h 0.5 S 34.0 W
SatEvo Dec 8 16:00 Dec 8 18:29 +-80m 19.9 N 76.6 E
Latest elset:
GPS 2-20 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 160 x 155 km
1 22658U 93032B 02342.56211806 .07881791 -18176-4 36452-3 0 7068
2 22658 21.8959 316.6259 0003769 189.6528 127.0394 16.43142674526552
SatEvo prediction:
GPS 2-20 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 143 x 140 km
1 22658U 93032B 02342.69059121 .30820369 10700+1 43385-3 0 97064
2 22658 21.8952 315.5299 0002737 191.6046 168.3891 16.49158247526570
GPS 2-20 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 127 x 125 km
1 22658U 93032B 02342.75098304 .94600835 18269+2 47125-3 0 97066
2 22658 21.8945 315.0107 0001676 192.5292 167.4666 16.55127756526588
Note: I show this decaying southbound over India on the last of my
predicted revs.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25694 = 99- 21 B = Uosat cover
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 8 08:23 Dec 12 01:26 +-2d 11.8 S 156.2 E
SatEvo Dec 8 16:20 Dec 11 22:02 +-1d
Latest elset:
Uosat cover 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 d 3.4 293 x 270 km
1 25694U 99021B 02342.54850242 .02219486 34031-2 51175-2 0 2290
2 25694 64.5163 85.0264 0017510 322.7999 37.1912 15.97469524198567
Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 48 deg S at ~22:00
local time. Eclipse exit occurs near northern apex at 65 deg N
before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27517 = 02- 42 C = DRTS H-2A r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 8 00:04 Dec 11 19:40 +-2d 22.8 S 75.8 E
SatEvo Dec 8 16:35 Dec 11 19:43 +-1d
Latest elset:
DRTS r DPAdpt 1.5 3.0 0.0 6.0 d 5 279 x 268 km
1 27517U 02042C 02342.49676602 .02280059 37521-2 43220-2 0 1385
2 27517 30.4005 248.8480 0008762 249.5687 110.4386 16.00417381 13901
Note: Eclipse entry occurs just after northern apex at 29 deg N in
the evening sky, with eclipse exit soon after southern apex near
29 deg S before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27541 = 02- 48 B = Integral Proton rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 8 07:52 Dec 8 19:35 +-8h 15.2 N 9.8 W
SatEvo Dec 8 16:10 Dec 8 19:45 +-3h 27.5 S 23.4 E
Latest elset:
Integral r1 6.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 d 20 201 x 133 km
1 27541U 02048B 02342.36202546 .09114269 12522-4 19445-3 0 1369
2 27541 51.5407 195.4728 0051872 283.0479 79.3609 16.39509517 8238
SatEvo prediction:
Integral r1 6.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 d 20 168 x 124 km
1 27541U 02048B 02342.66565769 .20990391 33168+0 20559-3 0 91363
2 27541 51.5385 193.7455 0033422 284.3452 75.2838 16.47589498 8286
Integral r1 6.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 d 20 156 x 120 km
1 27541U 02048B 02342.72626783 .29876232 76170+0 21546-3 0 91367
2 27541 51.5377 193.3977 0027295 284.6064 75.0909 16.50595190 8293
Integral r1 6.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 d 20 136 x 113 km
1 27541U 02048B 02342.78674468 .66388242 53936+1 28048-3 0 91366
2 27541 51.5364 193.0488 0017625 284.8684 74.9363 16.55690600 8300
Note: We could do with fresh elsets for this object. I estimate that
it will decay southbound on the last of the predicted revs, possibly
over Botswana and South Africa.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe'
in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Dec 08 2002 - 12:06:43 EST