Kevin's Decay Predictions and Locations

From: Kevin Martin (wxkevin@hotmail.com)
Date: Sun Dec 08 2002 - 06:02:42 EST

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    Object: #27541 = 02- 48 B = Integral Proton rocket
    Third stage from the Russian Proton-K/DM2 (SL-12) rocket used
    to orbit the European INTEGRAL gamma-ray observatory on
    October 17, 2002.
     
    SatEvo     Dec  5 20:25     Dec  9 07:35 +-1.1d
    SatEvo     Dec  7 15:40     Dec  9 01:29 +-12h
     
    Kevin's Final Predictions, Decay on  Dec 9 19:35:45 UTC
    LOCATION: Decaying 500 Miles N of Hawail on going Northeast..Possible sighting over the Seattle Washington Area in a North Direction, heading to the ENE, but may not make it to Alberta.
    ================================================================
    Object: #22658 = 93- 32 B = GPS 2-20 Delta 2 rocket
    Second stage from the American Delta 2, model 7925, rocket used to
    orbit the GPS 2-20 navigation satellite (a.k.a. USA 91, Navstar 37)
    on May 13, 1993.
    SatEvo     Dec  4 19:30     Dec  8 08:26 +-1.1d
    SatEvo     Dec  5 20:40     Dec  9 00:58 +-1d
    SatEvo     Dec  7 15:25     Dec  8 11:47 +-6h        21.9 S    33.6 W
     
    Kevin's Final Predictions, Decay on Dec 8 14:04:50 UTC
    ================================================================
    Object: #17131 = 86- 19 AA = Spot 1 rocket deb AA
    One big debris among the 488 created by the Nov. 13, 1986 breakup
    of the French Ariane 1 rocket third stage used to put in orbit the Spot 1
    imaging sat and Viking auroral regions study sat on February 22, 1986.
     
    SatEvo     Dec  4 19:20     Dec  8 15:43 +-1.2d
    SatEvo     Dec  5 20:35     Dec  8 09:01 +-18h
    SatEvo     Dec  7 15:15     Dec  8 00:08 +-4h         0.0     162.0 E
     
    Kevin's Final Predictions on Dec 9 13:26:21 UTC
    NOTE:Alot later then Satevo's predictions, the Satellite Mass is 1450kg, so it will last longer......
     
    LOCATION: Decaying over the Southern Pacific Ocean at -41 South Latitude, and
    134 degrees West Longitude..If the satellite decays later in the pass, it will cross over Southern Mexico, Example, Hondorus, and the Yucatan...The it will fly over the Southern tip of florida, and the Bahamas, this will be going to the NE at decay...
    ================================================================
    Prepared by Kevin Martin
     
     
     





     


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