My Decay Watch page has been updated with the final notice for the Titan
4 rocket and the first one for Molniya 3-35. Summaries follow:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #20052 = 89- 43 A = Molniya 3-35
Notice prepared: 2001 Dec 10 21:20 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 9 20:27 Dec 13 20:34 +-2d 58.3 S 13.1 W
SatEvo Dec 10 21:20 Dec 14 09:10 +-1.5d
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-35 5938 x 76 km
1 20052U 89043A 01344.78709491 .99999999 28291-5 18069-2 0 4361
2 20052 61.8480 144.6876 3122640 262.8823 330.7141 9.54887493 93573
SatEvo prediction: (see my Decay Watch page for an (uncertain)
prediction.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26935 = 01- 44 B = USA 161 Titan 4 r
Notice prepared: 2001 Dec 10 20:35 UTC
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 10 01:04 Dec 10 00:30 +-7m 16.0 N 12.0 E
SatEvo Dec 10 20:35 Dec 10 00:27 +-20m 0.0 15.1 E
Final elset:
USA 161 Titan 4 r 148 x 97 km
1 26935U 01044B 01343.95840888 .42789890 27189-5 14252-3 0 374
2 26935 97.8162 100.5775 0039271 252.1834 107.5182 16.56579808 10046
Note: Although this was a hard decayer to predict, my final prediction,
issued on my Decay Watch page with some 13 hours to go, turned out much
better than I expected. Indeed, it was running only 19 sec late against
my forecast at the epoch of the final elset. I estimate the decay near
the end of that orbit at a northbound equator crossing above the Congo
river in central Africa. If it had stayed in orbit long enough after
this, there might have been a northwards pass across eastern France to
the North Sea at ~00:39, though I have heard no reports of a sighting.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Dec 10 2001 - 16:39:51 EST