From my updated Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #18719 = 87-109 E = Ekran 17 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 20 17:21 Dec 20 18:10 +-32m 37.5 S 130.0 E
SatEvo Dec 20 19:25 Dec 20 19:53 +-3h 29.8 S 155.6 W
Latest (final?) elset:
Ekran 17 aux motor 374 x 121 km
1 18719U 87109E 00355.43437500 .28297883 11579-4 62935-3 0 9273
2 18719 46.9171 266.8966 0190521 289.0332 240.7418 16.09797668175215
Note: I suspect that this is about to decay a little beyond perigee
on the second of these SatEvo-predicted revs:
Ekran 17 aux motor 265 x 116 km
1 18719U 87109E 00355.71360296 .55547711 78404+0 69731-3 0 99274
2 18719 46.9108 265.2103 0113794 290.6787 68.1051 16.30761231175261
Ekran 17 aux motor 225 x 113 km
1 18719U 87109E 00355.77477006 .80083876 25053+1 73447-3 0 99275
2 18719 46.9080 264.8326 0086083 291.0474 68.0342 16.38815648175273
Ekran 17 aux motor 152 x 104 km
1 18719U 87109E 00355.83558143 2.76695944 50000+2 10687-2 0 99273
2 18719 46.9042 264.4513 0037204 291.4195 68.1840 16.54271816175286
This puts in northbound over the S Pacific. SpaceCom's post-decay
notice has yet to appear.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22067 = 92- 47 H = Cosmos 2204 Proton r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 19 09:26 Dec 19 09:06 +-2h 55.9 N 13.0 W
SatEvo Dec 20 19:40 Dec 19 07:14 +-100m 0.0 30.5 W
Final elset:
C 2204 Proton r2 490 x 260 km
1 22067U 92047H 00353.98676696 .14571585 47975+0 11097+0 0 4895
2 22067 64.4487 167.3976 0170707 181.6565 178.4893 15.64469462139409
Note: I estimate that this decayed in the vicinity of the northbound
equator crossing over the Atlantic at the end of the following
SatEvo-predicted rev:
C 2204 Proton r2 313 x 207 km
1 22067U 92047H 00354.23969362 1.83131377 11480+2 16708+0 0 94894
2 22067 64.4357 166.4846 0079807 181.5830 178.3915 16.05327608139443
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Dec 20 2000 - 11:50:52 PST