From my updated Decay watch page...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24743 = 97- 9 B = Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 12 09:27 Dec 12 09:46 +-22m 6.3 N 116.0 E
SatEvo Dec 12 22:20 Dec 12 09:49 +-6h 1.2 S 140.6 W
Final elset:
Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r 300 x 114 km
1 24743U 97009B 00347.30464120 .64289858 -34911-4 82054-3 0 7880
2 24743 6.4115 258.4314 0141174 337.0198 314.8302 16.24732844 60407
Note: The final elset shows it running only 2.6 sec early against
yesterday's prediction. I now suspect this decayed near a southbound
equator crossing over the Pacific on the following orbit:
Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r 188 x 102 km
1 24743U 97009B 00347.37710846 2.71604300 50000+2 12742-2 0 97887
2 24743 6.4108 257.7793 0065299 338.3119 21.4128 16.47889306 60411
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25124 = 97- 85 B = Early Bird Start-1 r
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 12 21:04 Dec 12 17:22 +-27m 44.6 S 97.2 E
SatEvo Dec 12 22:35 Dec 12 17:26 +-60m 14.4 S 90.2 E
Final elset:
Early Bird r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 2.7 154 x 145 km
1 25124U 97085B 00347.48654085 .09132401 25567-5 20254-3 0 8330
2 25124 97.1732 71.2509 0006857 196.2854 163.7484 16.46310525167088
Note: The final elset shows this running 11 sec early against the
prediction I posted yesterday. I show it surviving for more than three
more orbits before decaying on a northbound pass over the Indian Ocean
on this SatEvo-predicted rev:
rev:
Early Bird r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 2.7 127 x 122 km
1 25124U 97085B 00347.66845226 .50600977 27997+1 27293-3 0 98336
2 25124 97.1703 71.4607 0003850 195.5108 164.4774 16.55528465167119
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25422 = 98- 46 K = Orbcomm 17 Pegasus r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 12 10:12 Dec 14 10:07 +-1d 33.5 S 167.5 E
SatEvo Dec 12 22:25 Dec 14 07:45 +-16h
Latest elset:
Orbcm Pegasus r2 218 x 203 km
1 25422U 98046K 00347.54389212 .02859587 87093-5 10648-2 0 7669
2 25422 42.5474 188.0727 0011203 19.8364 340.2948 16.23316410131152
SatEvo prediction: See my Decay Watch page.
Note: The latest elset shows this running 7 sec early against
yesterday's prediction.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Dec 12 2000 - 15:07:30 PST