There are more detailed predictions for the following decayers on my
Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24743 = 97- 9 B = Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 11 05:44 Dec 12 06:12 +-15h 1.8 N 103.0 E
SatEvo Dec 11 19:20 Dec 12 10:26 +-6h 2.1 S 0.1 W
Latest elset:
Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r 610 x 125 km
1 24743U 97009B 00346.62664754 .24198399 -30932-4 94485-3 0 7806
2 24743 6.4064 264.1234 0359737 323.8161 34.0433 15.67085907 60306
SatEvo prediction:
..(ends)
Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r 300 x 113 km
1 24743U 97009B 00347.31618132 .84237601 14145+1 10213-2 0 97806
2 24743 6.4040 258.2924 0142001 335.3687 23.9596 16.24891048 60419
Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r 234 x 110 km
1 24743U 97009B 00347.37735699 1.38250377 70832+1 11349-2 0 97801
2 24743 6.4033 257.7453 0094883 336.4527 23.1158 16.37766479 60421
Note: The latest elset shows it running 19 sec early against yesterday's
prediction. I show this decaying near the northbound equator crossing at
the end of the final SatEvo-predicted orbit above. This places it over
the Gulf of Guinea.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25124 = 97- 85 B = Early Bird Start-1 r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 11 17:20 Dec 12 17:39 +-15h 23.0 N 83.0 E
SatEvo Dec 11 19:30 Dec 12 18:57 +-7h 0.0 65.6 E
Latest elset:
Early Bird r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 2.7 185 x 175 km
1 25124U 97085B 00346.63209949 .03928960 23755-5 56919-3 0 8242
2 25124 97.1673 70.2793 0007313 263.6024 96.4752 16.34693356166949
SatEvo prediction:
..(ends)
Early Bird r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 2.7 143 x 138 km
1 25124U 97085B 00347.60813297 .18730843 31043+0 24649-3 0 98241
2 25124 97.1622 71.3881 0003835 259.5034 100.4533 16.49552064167101
Early Bird r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 2.7 135 x 131 km
1 25124U 97085B 00347.66875318 .27894244 78242+0 23924-3 0 98242
2 25124 97.1613 71.4580 0003219 259.2450 100.7187 16.52289861167118
Early Bird r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 2.7 122 x 119 km
1 25124U 97085B 00347.72924328 .60310298 31408+1 26472-3 0 98249
2 25124 97.1600 71.5280 0002176 258.9859 100.9896 16.57156372167127
Note: The latest elset shows this running 32 sec late against the
prediction I posted two days ago. My latest analysis shows this
decaying northbound near a northbound equator crossing over the
Indian Ocean at the end of the final predicted orbit above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25422 = 98- 46 K = Orbcomm 17 Pegasus r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 11 10:11 Dec 14 09:18 +-2d 32.9 N 17.3 W
SatEvo Dec 11 19:50 Dec 14 10:21 +-16h
Latest elset:
Orbcm Pegasus r2 233 x 214 km
1 25422U 98046K 00346.55794457 .02215813 86096-5 12076-2 0 7601
2 25422 42.5509 194.5111 0014456 13.0092 347.1013 16.18436500130994
Note: The latest elset shows this running 14 sec late against
yesterday's prediction.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Dec 11 2000 - 12:38:14 PST