SatEvo decay list #109 (issued 2000 December 10) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 February 1, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,400 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 26617 00- 74 A Quickbird 1 November 21.01 Note 3 24117 94- 29 FQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 22.4 17726 71- 15 DD Cosmos 397 deb November 22.8? 23824 96- 10 E Raduga 33 aux motor November 22.9 26618 75- 17 C OPS 2439 deb November 23.69 4625 70- 91 E Cosmos 375 deb November 24.2 26455 99- 57 LA CBERS LM4 deb November 27.4 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 November 29.39 22373 92- 93 BN C 2227 Zenit deb November 29.9 26627 00- 77 B Sirius 3 Proton r December 1.40 26628 00- 77 C Sirius 3 Proton casing December 1.41 26171 99- 57 BH CBERS LM4 deb December 1.7 24164 94- 29 HP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 2.3 26190 99- 57 CC CBERS LM4 deb December 2.8 21334 75- 52 BC Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb December 4.4 Note 1 8577 70- 89 AQ Cosmos 374 deb December 6.3 10212 77- 65 AR GMS 1 Delta deb December 6.9 Note 1 26164 99- 57 BA CBERS LM4 deb December 9.9 Note 1 22380 92- 93 BV C 2227 Zenit deb December 10.0 24743 97- 9 B Intelsat 801 Ariane r December 12 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December 12 26417 99- 57 JN CBERS LM4 deb December 12 25422 98- 46 K Orbcomm 13 Peg r2 December 14 16480 79- 17 FE Solwind deb December 15 17628 81- 53 LA Cosmos 1275 deb December 16 22067 92- 47 H C 2204 Proton r2 December 16 26433 99- 57 KE CBERS LM4 deb December 16 19830 78-100 AN C 1045 SL-14 deb December 17 18719 87-109 E Ekran 17 aux motor December 19 4618 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb December 20 24221 94- 29 KU STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 20 15538 71- 15 CV Cosmos 397 deb December 23 22465 92- 93 FE C 2227 Zenit deb December 23 24140 94- 29 GP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 24 24429 94- 29 SH STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 24 26153 99- 57 AP CBERS LM4 deb December 24 24089 94- 29 EL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26 24154 94- 29 HD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26 24181 94- 29 JG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26 26051 93- 9 D OXP 1 Pegasus deb December 26? Note 2 4392 70- 34 B Mao 1 CZ-1 r December 28 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December 28 26252 99- 57 EN CBERS LM4 deb December 28 4584 70- 85 B Meteor 1-6 r December 29 24458 94- 29 TF STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 30 25576 65-109 G Transit 10 deb December 30 2001 25451 87- 68 BY Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 1 24745 97- 10 B Zeya r January 3 4647 70- 25 AF Nimbus 4 ThAg deb January 4 25224 87- 68 BB Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 5 26318 99- 57 HB CBERS LM4 deb January 5 14915 78- 26 GQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 6 26458 99- 57 LD CBERS LM4 deb January 6 16110 85- 90 A Cosmos 1689 January 7 23854 96- 25 B Cosmos 2332 r January 7 16243 85-105 D Cosmos 1701 r January 8 22659 93- 32 C GPS 2-20 r2 January 9 12196 78- 26 AM Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 10 14520 83-114 D Molniya 1-59 r2 January 10 26421 99- 57 JS CBERS LM4 deb January 10 24176 94- 29 JB STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 12 26223 99- 57 DM CBERS LM4 deb January 12 26325 99- 57 HJ CBERS LM4 deb January 12 15758 68- 91 CZ Cosmos 249 deb January 13 3687 68- 97 AE Cosmos 252 deb January 14 20456 77- 65 GD GMS 1 Dlt deb January 14? 26263 99- 57 EZ CBERS LM4 deb January 14 23982 94- 29 AC STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 15 26097 00- 4 N Picosat deb January 16 26303 86- 73 D NOAA 10 deb January 16 22986 94- 8 F Raduga 1-3 Proton deb January 21 22452 92- 93 ER C 2227 Zenit deb January 22 22925 93- 72 E Gorizont 29 aux mot January 22 24455 95- 58 H C 2322 Zenit deb January 22 24361 94- 29 PN STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 25 25720 89-100 BR C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb January 25 8432 72- 58 FM Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb January 26 23419 94- 77 K Cosmos 2297 deb January 26 26062 00- 4 B OCS January 30 16112 85- 91 A Molniya 3-26 February 3 25313 98- 24 C Nilesat Ariane 44P r February 3 26606 00- 71 B Navstar 49 Delta 2 r February 5 20094 89- 48 F Raduga 1-1 aux motor February 13 23019 94- 14 A Koronas 1 February 15 22521 93- 11 A Astro D February 19 16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 February 20 15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor March 22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March 23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March 25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 March 5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r April 23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r April 25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 April 11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. No recent elsets. 3. The re-entry of Quickbird 1 was observed over Montevideo, Uruguay. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Dec 10 2000 - 09:49:41 PST