I have updated my Decay Watch page with my prediction for the decaying
Progress M-48 rocket. In summary:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27874 = 03- 39 B = Progress M-48 Soyuz rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Aug 30 13:47 Aug 31 02:53 +-8h 9.8 S 168.9 E
SatEvo Aug 30 16:00 Apr 31 01:30 +-3h 34.0 S 146.6 W
Latest elset:
Progress M-48 Soyuz r 181 x 165 km
1 27874U 03039B 03242.53834241 .07070332 12369-4 67143-3 0 97
2 27874 51.6361 5.6386 0012550 77.1904 283.0503 16.37427422 257
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
Progress M-48 Soyuz r 154 x 144 km
1 27874U 03039B 03242.90365026 .23401638 53814+0 48268-3 0 90094
2 27874 51.6337 3.5702 0007515 78.7336 281.3509 16.46443429 319
Progress M-48 Soyuz r 143 x 135 km
1 27874U 03039B 03242.96427820 .41524012 17457+1 44737-3 0 90094
2 27874 51.6327 3.2235 0005689 78.9923 281.0717 16.50160410 320
Note: I estimate that this will decay southbound over the S Pacific
on the orbit following the one given by the final SatEvo-predicted
elset above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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