From my Decay Watch page, which will be updated later for the other
current decayers...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26478 = 00- 49 B = Raduga-1 5 Proton r
Notice prepared: 2000 Aug 30 18:35 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 29 02:59 Aug 31 13:07 +-1d 0.6 S 82.0 W
SpaceCom Aug 29 18:44 Aug 31 01:13 +-21h 34.7 N 66.0 E
SpaceCom Aug 30 00:20 Aug 31 00:42 +-15h 5.3 N 68.8 W
SpaceCom Aug 30 13:31 Aug 31 22:01 +-6h 44.2 N 18.0 E
SpaceCom Aug 30 15:35 Aug 31 21:56 +-5h 30.3 N 3.0 W
SatEvo Aug 29 15:50 Aug 30 21:43 +-9h 0.0 28.1 W
SatEvo Aug 30 18:35 Aug 30 21:45 +-2h 8.0 N 22.2 W
Latest elset:
Raduga-1 5 Proton r 159 x 149 km
1 26478U 00049B 00243.54144472 .10610251 12571-4 32120-3 0 156
2 26478 51.6379 279.1754 0008210 289.8521 70.1679 16.44522423 284
SatEvo prediction:
Raduga-1 5 Proton r 144 x 136 km
1 26478U 00049B 00243.72346062 .20017214 40695+0 23342-3 0 90154
2 26478 51.6365 278.1364 0005914 290.6271 69.3095 16.49680948 313
Raduga-1 5 Proton r 135 x 129 km
1 26478U 00049B 00243.78398608 .30835186 83911+0 22352-3 0 90158
2 26478 51.6357 277.7889 0004666 290.8864 69.0637 16.52673401 324
Raduga-1 5 Proton r 120 x 117 km
1 26478U 00049B 00243.84437092 .72114963 77882+1 25011-3 0 90151
2 26478 51.6344 277.4403 0002752 291.1465 68.8241 16.57935655 330
Note: It appears that SpaceCom remain confused about the identity of
this object and appear the be tracking one object, probably the
rocket, under two identities - the rocket and the "platform". All the
elsets issued during the past day for both this rocket and the
platform (#26479) can be satisfied to within 0.2 sec by the orbital
decay of a single object. Meantime, SpaceCom is posting similar (but
not identical) decay predictions for both objects. The ones posted
#26479 read...
Decay predictions for #26479 (but probably identical to #26478):
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 30 01:03 Aug 30 22:57 +-20h 46.6 S 102.6 W
SpaceCom Aug 30 13:31 Aug 30 22:20 +-6h 29.1 N 117.2 E
SpaceCom Aug 30 15:36 Aug 30 21:58 +-5h 37.8 N 6.5 E
I predict that this will decay soon after a northbound equator
crossing over the Atlantic between Brazil and Africa.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Aug 30 2000 - 12:46:42 PDT