Decay watch: 2000 Aug 28 #2

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Aug 28 2000 - 11:35:29 PDT

  • Next message: Harro.Zimmer: "Decay Alert AUX MOT" 

    #22968 = 94-  2 F = GALS 1 aux motor

Current decay estimates:
   SpaceCom: Aug 28 21:07 +-4h         4.4 S    41.8 E
   SatEvo  : Aug 28 22:11 +-2h        46.6 S    54.7 W

Latest elset:
GALS 1 aux motor                                 542 x 104 km
1 22968U 94002F   00241.56542704  .51056351  10020-4  67170-3 0  5726
2 22968  46.6745 340.4631 0326326 270.1236  86.6235 15.82704433 90124

SatEvo prediction:
GALS 1 aux motor                                 416 x 103 km
1 22968U 94002F   00241.75363595  .75892746  72640+0  77693-3 0 95729
2 22968  46.6686 339.3618 0236056 271.2103  86.0866 16.05512685 90154
GALS 1 aux motor                                 360 x 101 km
1 22968U 94002F   00241.81574246  .94829685  14839+1  82439-3 0 95727
2 22968  46.6650 338.9893 0195736 271.5779  86.1810 16.15994706 90166
GALS 1 aux motor                                 287 x 99 km
1 22968U 94002F   00241.87741518 1.38450197  43631+1  92173-3 0 95726
2 22968  46.6615 338.6131 0142841 271.9493  86.4154 16.29909714 90170

The latest elset shows this running 21 sec early against the prediction
I posted earlier today. I expect this to decay near perigee on the last
of these predicted orbits, possibly eastbound over the S Atlantic to the
E of Argentina. More on my Decay Watch page.


Alan

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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Aug 28 2000 - 11:47:17 PDT