#21538 = 91- 46 E = Gorizont 23 aux motor Final decay analyses: SpaceCom: Aug 22 07:35 +-2h 16.2 N 119.8 E SatEvo: Aug 22 07:37 -15+30m 29.8 N 135.1 E Final elset: Gorizont 23 aux motor 280 x 114 km 1 21538U 91046E 00235.18830559 .99999999 12219-4 12561-2 0 3866 2 21538 46.5096 188.3857 0126489 48.9051 312.6415 16.28456538127794 This elset has it 15 sec early against the prediction I posted earlier today though, in retrospect, that evolution was anchored on a poor elset - the eccentricity was too high and hence the perigee was too low. SpaceCom puts decay close to perigee over the Philippines while I place it a little further along, to the S of Japan. It is unlikely that it survived long enough to pass to the SW of Los Angeles at 07:58 UTC. My predicted elset for the start of the final rev: Gorizont 23 aux motor 160 x 101 km 1 21538U 91046E 00235.31021718 2.35190075 50000+2 87359-3 0 93842 2 21538 46.4914 187.6868 0045715 42.5218 317.8315 16.53472384127817 _____________________________________________________________________ #26361 = 00- 25 B = GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 Current decay analyses: SpaceCom: Aug 23 05:35 +-7h 26.9 N 144.7 E SatEvo: Aug 23 08:53 +-5h 11.8 N 143.5 W Latest elset: GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 251 x 140 km 1 26361U 00025B 00235.73432478 .07944240 43050-5 34937-3 0 2150 2 26361 37.6046 161.8141 0084476 277.6478 81.7220 16.29076131 15561 This elset shows it running 102 sec early against the prediction I posted yesterday. Although SpaceCom has an earlier decay, I show this decaying southbound over the E Pacific after passing close to the Hawaiian Is. My prediction for the final two revs: GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 157 x 114 km 1 26361U 00025B 00236.28296545 .49708579 10689+1 28457-3 0 92148 2 26361 37.6001 157.8671 0033212 283.0371 76.5923 16.51387557 15654 GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 126 x 103 km 1 26361U 00025B 00236.34331617 1.04939202 96007+1 26728-3 0 92143 2 26361 37.5986 157.4221 0017990 283.6378 76.1620 16.59572092 15669 _____________________________________________________________________ More details on http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Aug 22 2000 - 13:26:23 PDT