Decay watch: Gorizont 23 mot

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Aug 22 2000 - 00:03:02 PDT

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    Thanks to Rob Matson for pointing out that "Gorizont 32" should be
    Gorizont 23. My Decay Watch page at 
             http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    has been corrected and updated. The decay is now likely to occur on the
    orbit that takes it SW of Los Angeles at 07:59 UTC (00:59 PDT), though
    both SpaceCom and I put the event further east over the NW Pacific.
    
    Current decay predictions:
       SpaceCom: Aug 22 07:41 +-2h        32.9 N   140.0 E
       SatEvo:   Aug 22 07:44 +-90m       42.9 N   152.3 E
    
    Latest elset, showing it 11 sec late against the prediction I posted 12
    hours ago:
    Gorizont 23 aux motor                            340 x 100 km
    1 21538U 91046E   00235.13912706  .75176739  12898-4  59768-3 0  3852
    2 21538  46.5131 188.7661 0182218  42.2525  31.4455 16.19801999127780
    
    My predicted elset for the final rev:
    Gorizont 23 aux motor                            210 x 100 km
    1 21538U 91046E   00235.31071025 1.40468621  73390+1  72518-3 0 93856
    2 21538  46.5055 187.7077 0083763  43.3047 317.3508 16.44121001127817
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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