SatEvo decay list #104 (issued 2000 August 19) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 October 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 26440 99- 57 KM CBERS LM4 deb August 4.3 24043 94- 29 CQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4 24189 94- 29 JQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5.2 24348 94- 29 NZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5.4 15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb August 7.0 26364 86- 17 NP Mir deb August 7.5 26462 00- 44 B Progress M1-3 Soyuz-U r August 8.57 26419 99- 57 JQ CBERS LM4 deb August 10.5 26420 99- 57 JR CBERS LM4 deb August 12.4 26047 89- 1 N Glonass 40 Proton deb August 12 Note 1 22540 92- 93 HA Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb August 14.8 Note 1 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 15.60 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 16.43 23650 95- 17 E Orbcomm 1 Pegasus deb August 19.4 24190 94- 29 JR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 19.5 21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux mot August 21 26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 23 21389 75- 52 DK Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb August 25 22968 94- 2 F GALS 1 aux motor August 27 23291 85-118 N Cosmos 1710 Proton deb August 29 24984 94- 29 ACS STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 29 24032 94- 29 CD STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 31 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 3 25180 87- 68 F Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb September 3 12547 81- 58 A Cosmos 1278 September 4 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot September 4 23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux mot September 4 10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 5 21690 90-105 AE DMSP F10 deb September 5 26136 99- 57 Y CBERS LM4 deb September 6 13775 70- 91 AR Cosmos 375 deb September 7 26456 99- 57 LB CBERS LM4 deb September 7 25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September 13 5440 71- 71 C Eole Scout deb September 14 25813 89-101 K Cos 2354 Proton deb September 14 26105 00- 13 F Express 6-A aux mot September 16 26431 99- 57 KC CBERS LM4 deb September 19 25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r September 20 5070 70- 89 AH Cosmos 374 deb September 22 20021 89- 16 N M-3S2 deb September 23 14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r September 24 24341 94- 29 NS STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 24 25497 85- 56 F Giotto Ariane 1 deb September 24 25737 99- 26 C Terriers Peg stg3 September 24 26453 99- 57 KY CBERS LM4 deb September 24 11221 76-120 AY Cosmos 880 deb September 25 18984 88- 6 F DMSP F9 deb October 2 23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux mot October 2 24258 94- 29 MH STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 4 26439 99- 57 KL CBERS LM4 deb October 4 26413 92- 72 G Gal 7 Ariane 42 deb October 6 25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 October 7 7967 72- 58 CT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb October 9 23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October 9 23971 94- 29 R STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 10 25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October 14 26408 00- 40 B GPS 2R-5 Delta 2 r1 October 23 23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October 27 25031 97- 67 B GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r1 October 27 25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 October 29 21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor November 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November 25069 97- 75 C JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r November 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 December 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 January Note 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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