Decay watch: 2000 Aug 8

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Aug 08 2000 - 00:00:32 PDT

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    OIG has been unusually slow to post elsets for the two objects from
    Sunday's Progress M1-3 launch to the ISS. The current ones for both are:
    
    Progress M1-3    9.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 d   25       298 x 271 km
    1 26461U 00044A   00221.19739517  .00024402  11499-4  63832-4 0   126
    2 26461  51.5787 234.5282 0020345 272.5590  87.3179 15.96278244   232
    PrgM1-3 Soyuz r  6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d   15       184 x 165 km
    1 26462U 00044B   00221.04813674  .07420334  12339-4  74650-3 0   111
    2 26462  51.6430 235.1148 0014519  82.8588 277.4104 16.36816230   218
    
    The following is taken from my updated my Decay Watch page at
             http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
    
    Object: #26462 = 00- 44 B = Progress M1-3 Soyuz-U r
    
    Notice prepared: 2000 Aug 8 06:50 UTC
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   Aug  7 14:24     Aug  8 14:39 +-16h       49.4 N   122.5 E
    SpaceCom   Aug  8 02:17     Aug  8 14:09 +-8h        35.1 S    29.6 E
    
    SatEvo     Aug  7 19:20     Aug  8 16:35 +-10h       20.2 S   138.0 W
    SatEvo     Aug  8 06:50     Aug  8 14:13 +-3h        13.7 S    50.4 E
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    PrgM1-3 Soyuz r  6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d   15       170 x 155 km
    1 26462U 00044B   00221.29200333  .11913153  10434+0  66820-3 0 90119
    2 26462  51.6417 233.7386 0011757  83.8850 276.2490 16.41367185   250
    PrgM1-3 Soyuz r  6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d   15       165 x 151 km
    1 26462U 00044B   00221.35285440  .14245190  15794+0  56583-3 0 90119
    2 26462  51.6413 233.3937 0010835  84.1422 275.9813 16.42948910   267
    PrgM1-3 Soyuz r  6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d   15       159 x 147 km
    1 26462U 00044B   00221.41364036  .18130691  28348+0  48633-3 0 90114
    2 26462  51.6408 233.0482 0009729  84.3999 275.7111 16.44892886   276
    PrgM1-3 Soyuz r  6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d   15       151 x 141 km
    1 26462U 00044B   00221.47434293  .25955338  63209+0  43008-3 0 90110
    2 26462  51.6401 232.7021 0008286  84.6580 275.4365 16.47503506   280
    PrgM1-3 Soyuz r  6.0  3.0  0.0  5.0 d   15       139 x 131 km
    1 26462U 00044B   00221.53492372  .48160021  22029+1  40081-3 0 90115
    2 26462  51.6391 232.3551 0006111  84.9168 275.1529 16.51702133   294
    
    Note: This is a morning object as it leaves eclipse near 40 deg N
    while southbound. It enters eclipse while northbound near 20 deg N in 
    the evening. I show this decaying over Madagascar on the approach to 
    a northbound equator crossing over the Indian Ocean.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Aug 08 2000 - 00:02:14 PDT