SatEvo decay list #103 (issued 2000 August 3) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 September 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 9.6 24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10.2 23209 94- 50 G Cosmos 2287 aux motor July 10.66 24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 12.4 7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 14.0 22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 15.7 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 16.34 26401 00- 37 B Zvezda Proton-K r July 17.74 9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 18.22 26434 99- 57 KF CBERS LM4 deb July 18? 19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb July 21.8 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 23.49 2363 63- 14 N Westford Needles July 23.8 18208 86- 19 RF SPOT 1 r deb July 25.6 23050 94- 21 H Cosmos 2275 aux motor July 25.79 26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 27.49 26437 99- 57 KJ CBERS LM4 deb July 28.7 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 27.62 26435 99- 57 KG CBERS LM4 deb July 31 Note 1 25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 1.2 Note 1 20869 90- 81 AH FY-1B CZ deb August 2.4 Note 1 26418 99- 57 JP CBERS LM4 deb August 3? Note 1 24043 94- 29 CQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4.0 26440 99- 57 KM CBERS LM4 deb August 4.6 24189 94- 29 JQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5 24348 94- 29 NZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5 15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb August 7 26364 86- 17 NP Mir deb August 7 26419 99- 57 JQ CBERS LM4 deb August 9 26047 89- 1 N Glonass 40 Proton deb August 12 26420 99- 57 JR CBERS LM4 deb August 13 24190 94- 29 JR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 16 22540 92- 93 HA Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb August 17 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 19 23291 85-118 N Cosmos 1710 Proton deb August 19 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 22 22968 94- 2 F GALS 1 aux motor August 23 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux motor August 26 26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 26 24032 94- 29 CD STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 28 21389 75- 52 DK Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb August 29 23650 95- 17 E Orbcomm 1 Pegasus deb August 29 25813 89-101 K Cos 2354 Proton deb September 3 21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux mot September 4 25497 85- 56 F Giotto Ariane 1 deb September 6 20021 89- 16 N M-3S2 deb September 8 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 8 10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 9 25180 87- 68 F Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb September 12 21690 90-105 AE DMSP F10 deb September 14 23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux mot September 14 25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September 14 26136 99- 57 Y CBERS LM4 deb September 14 25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r September 17 24984 94- 29 ACS STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 19 26431 99- 57 KC CBERS LM4 deb September 20 14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r September 26 12547 81- 58 A Cosmos 1278 September 27 23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux mot September 29 25737 99- 26 C Terriers Peg stg3 September 30 25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October 10 23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October 15 25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 October 20 25031 97- 67 B GPS II r October 27 25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 October 29 26408 00- 40 B GPS 2R-5 Delta 2 r1 October 29 21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor October 30 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November 23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 November 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November 25069 97- 75 C JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r November 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r 2001 January 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 2001 January 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 January Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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