New elset+evo for #24891

Bjoern Gimle (b_gimle@algonet.se)
Thu, 7 Aug 1997 20:36:35 +0200

A new elset has appeared:


I have not (yet) attempted Alan's accurate curve fitting, just used raw elsets.
The six latest give these predictions: (Uses Q-factor of 1.000000)

Element      Obj       #         Epoch          Decay        (Date)
     1     97022B    24801   97219.637918   97220.051121  (1997 August 8)
     2     97022B    24801   97219.577141   97219.925682  (1997 August 7)
     3     97022B    24801   97219.455302   97219.920887  (1997 August 7)
     4     97022B    24801   97219.455276   97220.017543  (1997 August 8)
     5     97022B    24801   97219.272321   97219.959235  (1997 August 7)
     6     97022B    24801   97218.905654   97219.921141  (1997 August 7)

There seems to be some agreement on .921 = 22:06 UT
My simple MM extrapolation gave .009 = 00:15 UT before the latest elset.

Evolutions around 219.88:
Element set number = 2                           132 x 127 km
1 24801U 97022B   97219.88063601  .50148351  32477+1  32285-3 0 91854
2 24801  62.7567 218.3698 0003687 127.7933 232.2401 16.53745543 13644
Element set number = 1                           134 x 128 km
1 24801U 97022B   97219.88070153  .46179402  28784+1  32266-3 0 91877
2 24801  62.7613 218.3642 0004320 129.7232 230.3149 16.53158858 13649
Element set number = 3                           147 x 138 km
1 24801U 97022B   97219.88104319  .18366874  35093+0  24986-3 0 91868
2 24801  62.7565 218.3671 0006357 120.6962 239.3664 16.48858815 13644
The latest set =                                 146 x 139 km
1 24801U 97022B   97219.88085391  .14633443  23182+0  19857-3 0 91880
2 24801  62.7538 218.3669 0005503 131.4165 228.6308 16.48948188 13647


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