Re: Decaying rocket (and fragments)
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 4 Aug 1997 23:19:20 +0100
Drag rates suffered by the decaying SL-6 rocket, 97- 22 B, increased
more than expected about 24 hours ago. This caused it to run early and
brought forward the predicted decay time to about August 7.1, though
this may already be slipping back to August 7.5 or later as the
atmosphere returns to normal.
The latest elset from OIG is:
C 2342 SL-6 r1 5.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 d 233 x 186 km
1 24801U 97022B 97216.81779821 .01882831 85540-5 61044-3 0 1722
2 24801 62.7635 230.9941 0035322 118.3274 242.1427 16.23820924 13143
Of the other objects mentioned by Bjoern:
There are no further elsets for #24366. My own SatEvo evolution forced
through the final three elsest leads to decay at about August 4.2,
implying that it is already down.
#24202. Another elset today - I now expect decay about August 10.
#24395. Two more elsets released today support Bjoern's prediction of
decay early Thursday, 7th.
SatEvo predicted elsets for tonight for #24303 and #24395:
Pegasus deb KD 431 x 380 km
1 24202U 94029KD 97216.99610506 .01604935 99567-3 24094-1 0 94413
2 24202 81.7991 120.4904 0037579 -0.0206 0.0188 15.54030674 86812
Pegasus deb QY 413 x 373 km
1 24395U 94029QY 97216.98497300 .03748984 55477-2 48733-1 0 93736
2 24395 81.9567 136.2582 0030191 28.9007 331.2659 15.58203393 61250
Updated elsets for all these objects are available via my SatEvo WWW
page (URL below).
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/