Acceleration Report 20 Aug 1996 : 92- 30 J and 92- 76 B

Kurt Jonckheere (kjonckheere@unicall.be)
Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:51:01 +0200

Finally back with tome unusaul changes in orbital elements.

The first preliminary results of my analysis indicating that there are
a lot more accelerations and mmjumps in the winter than in summer (for
Northern latitudes) seems to be true, as we had almost no MMjumps in 
the past months.

The latest Molczan file shows to objects with sudden changing of
mean motion.

WARN: 21984 
ep: 12961.530673        mm 12.221417    mmdot 1.1e-07
ep: 12967.914962        mm 12.221418    mmdot 1.3e-07
ep: 12973.890008        mm 12.221421    mmdot 1.9e-07
ep: 12982.811665        mm 12.221422    mmdot 6e-08
ep: 12989.768932        mm 12.221423    mmdot 7e-08
ep: 12997.053711        mm 12.221074    mmdot -2.502e-05
expected:                  12.221424
latest elements:
1 21984U 92030  J 96228.55371132 -.00002502  00000-0  10000-3 0  6207
2 21984  74.0072 134.1102 0124295 239.8807 119.0282 12.22107394187479
21984
1 21984U 92030J   96231.17298944 -.00000004  00000-0  10000-3 0  6236
2 21984  73.9965 130.7987 0123437 236.5172 122.4012 12.22110382187792
These J-objects are famous as accelerators, so it is very probable that
this one is accelerating.  The latest flash observations indicated
a period of about 13 seconds.
Who will make the next observation and determine if it is accelerating
or not !?
Try to make DRA-observations of this one !!


WARN: 22220 
ep: 12961.273902        mm 14.152183    mmdot 1.45e-06
ep: 12967.847263        mm 14.152248    mmdot 4.98e-06
ep: 12974.703342        mm 14.152254    mmdot 4.5e-07
ep: 12982.690338        mm 14.152194    mmdot -3.44e-06
ep: 12989.61713         mm 14.152159    mmdot -2.51e-06
ep: 12996.967919        mm 14.153333    mmdot 7.985e-05
expected:                  14.152156
22220
1 22220U 92076B   96231.08279296  .00000932  00000-0  50202-3 0  5448
2 22220  70.9945 222.4632 0013125 333.9651  26.0810 14.15391389193797
This one is a Zenit-rocket which has been Steady for most of the time.
Thus this very sudden and distinct jump in Mean Motion means the start
of the flashing ?
The latest elements from OIG indicate that the jump in Mean Motion
is still going on !!


Observations of both objects are needed very urgently !!

Happy observing,

Kurt Jonckheere (kjonckheere@unicall.be)