Progress rocket decay

Mike McCants (mikem@sterinfo.com)
Fri, 2 Aug 1996 14:08:12 -0500

Elsets from OIG:

1 24072U 96043B   96214.50119855  .01473249  00000-0  35307-3 0    52
2 24072  51.6216 255.9320 0020690  83.6724 276.7348 16.28003564   115
1 24072U 96043B   96214.68530520  .01513335  00000-0  34306-3 0    78
2 24072  51.6196 254.9048 0020712  83.4580 276.9494 16.28591397   144
1 24072U 96043B   96215.23677389  .03290028  12207-4  53552-3 0    90
2 24072  51.5978 251.8236 0015676  83.1323 277.1680 16.32306273   233
1 24072U 96043B   96215.42034702 +.03077663 +12236-4 +44064-3 0 00163
2 24072 051.6022 250.7993 0016263 086.8040 273.5173 16.33507457000269
1 24072U 96043B   96215.48147126  .04253225  12266-4  56177-3 0   100
2 24072  51.6005 250.4493 0013084  82.4406 277.8089 16.34440697   275

My guess is for decay to occur between 216.15 and 216.25.
This would be Aug. 3 between 3:30 and 6:00 UT.

There are two passes over the US and Canada tonight.

*******  96 Aug  3   Fri evening   *******

 NCAT 24072 Progress Rk   

  HGT HR MN    Lat  East Long
  104  3 49   25.8 -100.2
  104  3 50   28.8  -97.3
  104  3 51   31.6  -94.1
  105  3 52   34.4  -90.7
  105  3 53   37.1  -87.1
  105  3 54   39.6  -83.3
  106  3 55   41.9  -79.1
  106  3 56   44.1  -74.6
  106  3 57   46.1  -69.7
  106  3 58   47.8  -64.5
...
  107  4  7   48.5  -10.2
  106  4  8   46.9   -4.9
  106  4  9   45.1     .1
  106  4 10   43.0    4.8
  106  4 11   40.7    9.1
  105  4 12   38.3   13.1
...
  104  5 18   29.3 -119.1
  104  5 19   32.1 -115.9
  104  5 20   34.9 -112.5
  104  5 21   37.5 -108.8
  105  5 22   40.0 -104.9
  105  5 23   42.4 -100.6
  105  5 24   44.5  -96.1
  106  5 25   46.4  -91.2
  106  5 26   48.1  -85.9
  106  5 27   49.5  -80.3
  106  5 28   50.6  -74.4
  106  5 29   51.3  -68.3
  106  5 30   51.7  -62.0
  106  5 31   51.7  -55.6
  106  5 32   51.4  -49.3

Mike McCants
mikem@fc.net