Elsets of XSS-11 and rocket; and obs corrections

From: Ted Molczan (seesat@rogers.com)
Date: Sat Apr 29 2006 - 10:29:30 EDT

  • Next message: Bruce MacDonald: "Re: Elsets of XSS-11 and rocket; and obs corrections"

    Here are updated elements of both objects:
    
    XSS-11           1.0  0.6  0.0  8.3 v                    755 X 771 km
    1 28636U 05011A   06118.66440878  .00000245  00000-0  81408-4 0    00
    2 28636  99.1809 120.0867 0011060 203.1264 156.9424 14.37852141    00
    Arc 2006 Apr 06.74 - 28.73, WRMS residuals = 0.016 deg
    
    XSS-11 r         1.3  1.1  0.0  7.6 v                    844 X 862 km
    1 28637U 05011B   06118.66911613  .00000045  00000-0  25243-4 0    04
    2 28637  98.8689 111.9004 0012674 209.2919 150.7542 14.11064258    00
    Arc 2006 Mar 01.19 - 28.73, WRMS residuals = 0.016 deg
    
    XSS-11 has now drifted 8.2 east of the plane of the upper stage of its rocket
    (05011B), which was it first rendezvous target. Based on their present planes
    and rates of precession, XSS-11's manoeuvres to its present orbit would have
    occurred about 2006 Jan 17 UTC; however, they could have been carried out over
    several days around that date.
    
    This did not square with the epoch 06022.23397126 elset of XSS-11, which had it
    in its pre-manoeuvre orbit. That elset was derived from a couple of observations
    by Bruce MacDonald on January 22nd:
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat/Jan-2006/0211.html
    
    Further investigation reveals that Bruce must have mistaken 05011B for 05011A.
    The latter had been manoeuvring in close proximity to the former for months, so
    there was a considerable risk of confusing the two.
    
    The first clue was the brightness, mag 6, which was nearly 3 mag brighter than
    expected of 05011A, given the circumstances of the pass; in contrast, 05011B
    routinely reaches mag 6 in maxima. 
    
    The decisive evidence is that at the times of both observations, 05011B made
    close appulses of stars suitable for accurate positional observations; the first
    within about 0.1 deg of a mag 5.2 star; the second nearly coincident with a mag
    8.9 star. Both could yield very good position and time residuals relative
    05011B, depending upon the accuracy of the observation.
    
    So, the epoch 06022.23397126 elset of XSS-11 should be discarded, and Bruce
    should re-reduce his Jan 22 observations and report them as 05011B.
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive:  
    http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Apr 29 2006 - 10:31:54 EDT