RE: Decay alert : 29058 Object B

From: Eric Briggs (ebriggs@sympatico.ca)
Date: Wed Apr 26 2006 - 17:06:07 EDT

  • Next message: daniel crawford: "Re: Decay alert : 29058 Object B"

    Current Space-Track elements seem to show this bottoming out at 138 km
    altitude  at about 15°N, 108°W at 23:43 UT this evening, shortly before
    making a southerly pass at my 20 (Toronto, 43°N 79°W).
    
    Is a perigee of 138 km terminally low?
    
    Cheers
    
    Eric Briggs
    
    -----Original Message-----
    From: Robert Holdsworth [mailto:robbonz1@xtra.co.nz]
    Sent: Wednesday, April 26, 2006 2:15 PM
    To: Seesat List
    Subject: Decay alert : 29058 Object B
    Importance: High
    
    
    
    Prospects appear to be high for daylight passes of  29058 2006-13B Object B
    at or near decay in this region.
    
    It is the rocket body from the latest Progress mission just docked, so
    presumably could be described as a Soyuz R/B.and of course has a 51.6 degree
    elevation.
    
    There is  an illuminated dawn pass in shortly at 1843Z and conditions here
    are good but with some adjacent cloud which may spread (hoping not!)
    Unfortunately this may be too short notice for NZ observers, apologies that
    I was not convenient to post anything earlier.
    
    One of the most likely daylight near decay passes is currently predicted at
    2318Z which is too low for me to observe owing to hills but should be
    favourable for the South Island.
    
    The next pass if still in orbit is about 0051Z and is predicted around 40
    degrees elevation ,  conveniently at a time when observers may be able to
    see it in their lunchbreak from work in New Zealand :-)
    
    Earlier daylight passes are at 2014 and 2147, the latter too low here but
    definitely  worth checking on  in the South (refer SpaceTrack for more
    into.)
    
    The above of course assumes an uncontrolled re-entry but even if controlled
    decay in the South Pacific would seem to be a possibility.
    
    Robert
    Wainuiomata
    New Zealand
    41.261S
    174.948E
    
    
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