I have referred to the email below as designates the object correctly as 22312 not 23112 as shown in the other email. The pass in question is in the early morning Australian time - Australian Eastern Time for it is 0535. Calsky predicts decay earlier at 1707 and though it no longer shows the pass here around 1801 UTC it shows the ground track after possible decay definitely pointing in this direction! Space-track predictions are of course forbidden territory here but suffice it to say that a decay over or near to Australia or New Zealand some time between about 1700 and 1930 UTC appears to be a distinct possibility and well worth an early start to check on. Robert Wainuiomata New Zealand 174.948 41.261S UTC plus 12. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Ed Cannon" <ecannon@mail.utexas.edu> To: <seesat-l@satobs.org> Sent: Tuesday, April 04, 2006 5:29 PM Subject: re-entry prediction for 22312, 93-002D >I tried to send this a while ago, but it hasn't appeared yet. > Since it's time-sensitive, I'm going to try again and risk > redundancy.... > > The Aerospace Corporation has an online prediction of the > re-entry of 93-002D (22312, the upper stage from the launch > of Molniya 1-85), which includes the predicted ground track, > ground visibility area, etc.: > > http://www.reentrynews.com/1993002d.html > > They predict re-entry at 19:35 April 4 UTC (plus or minus > seven hours) over eastern Australia at night. That's > between seven and 21 hours from now, roughly (now being > almost 5:30 UTC on April 4). > >snip> > Ed Cannon - Austin, Texas, USA > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------- > Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive: > http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive: http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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