Decay watch: 2003 April 29

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Apr 29 2003 - 15:12:46 EDT

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    As BeppoSAX nears its decay, here is a summary of the latest update to 
    my Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #19332 = 88- 63 C = Insat 1C Ariane 3 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Apr 28 00:08     Apr 29 22:46 +-1d         1.2 N    50.5 W
    SatEvo     Apr 29 18:45     Apr 30 20:20 +-11h        7.5 N    48.6 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Insat 1C Ariane 3 r                              635 x 140 km
    1 19332U 88063C   03119.32810528  .14605728 -29851-4  16624-2 0  6357
    2 19332   7.5601 143.6220 0365916 324.6557  33.0155 15.59960628192425
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (ends)
    Insat 1C Ariane 3 r                              238 x 123 km
    1 19332U 88063C   03120.77286427  .85401020  24899+1  13967-2 0 96358
    2 19332   7.5563 131.4962 0087717 348.5908  11.2119 16.34383903192657
    Insat 1C Ariane 3 r                              153 x 113 km
    1 19332U 88063C   03120.83363168 4.53917834  50000+2  23339-2 0 96355
    2 19332   7.5557 130.9459 0030559 349.6772  10.2603 16.52519666192663
    
    Note: I estimate that this will decay near northern apex over the
    Horn of Africa on the last of my SatEvo-predicted revs above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #23857 = 96- 27 A = BeppoSAX
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Apr 28 19:27     Apr 29 14:18 +-12h        3.0 S   124.2 W
    SatEvo     Apr 29 19:00     Apr 30 02:45 +-5h         2.0 N   118.1 W
    
    Latest elset:
    BeppoSAX                                         200 x 198 km
    1 23857U 96027A   03119.29702682  .06494655 -36652-4  16604-2 0  6508
    2 23857   3.9549 358.6996 0001744 297.7907  62.2305 16.27503804386168
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (ends)
    BeppoSAX                                         152 x 150 km
    1 23857U 96027A   03120.02914901  .37337430  13448+1  12480-2 0 96501
    2 23857   3.9544 352.0976 0001454 310.9477  49.0396 16.45493510386285
    BeppoSAX                                         132 x 131 km
    1 23857U 96027A   03120.08962260 1.31041965  26245+2  93118-3 0 96506
    2 23857   3.9543 351.5408 0000998 312.0571  47.9342 16.53075159386291
    
    Note: We are lacking both recent elsets and updated SCC predictions
    for this very interesting decayer. I show it decaying over the eastern
    Pacific, well to the south of California, on the last of my predicted 
    revs.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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