Another update to my Decay Watch page: _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #19332 = 88- 63 C = Insat 1C Ariane 3 rocket Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SCC Apr 28 00:08 Apr 29 22:46 +-1d 1.2 N 50.5 W SatEvo Apr 28 19:05 May 1 02:09 +-19h Latest elset: Insat 1C Ariane 3 r 767 x 144 km 1 19332U 88063C 03118.42594366 .13124030 -28498-4 22127-2 0 6303 2 19332 7.5668 150.7901 0455915 310.3571 45.7627 15.36945914192284 SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #23857 = 96- 27 A = BeppoSAX Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SCC Apr 27 23:50 Apr 29 19:29 +-1d 1.9 N 3.9 W SatEvo Apr 28 19:15 Apr 30 05:35 +-12h Latest elset: BeppoSAX 223 x 219 km 1 23857U 96027A 03118.37565778 .03062006 22127-1 20548-2 0 6440 2 23857 3.9569 6.9386 0002837 281.4439 78.6211 16.19365736386012 SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #25240 = 98- 14 B = Intelsat 806 Atlas 2AS Centaur Rocket Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SCC Apr 27 15:45 Apr 27 15:31 +-7m 13.0 N 96.0 W SatEvo Apr 27 17:35 Apr 27 15:34 +-2h 16.4 N 84.1 W Final elset: Intlst 806Cn r 8.3 3.0 0.0 4.0 v 23 278 x 139 km 1 25240U 98014B 03117.33583654 .17689934 -15804-4 91403-3 0 9107 2 25240 22.4489 322.2274 0104996 21.1710 339.3112 16.24085078137797 Note: The update records SCC's final decay estimate. My analysis from yesterday is unchanged. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #27782 = 03- 16 B = Soyuz TMA-2 Soyuz rocket Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SCC Apr 28 06:30 Apr 28 06:12 +-7m 34.0 N 110.0 E SatEvo Apr 28 19:30 Apr 28 05:41 +-2h 2.8 N 28.3 W Final elset: Soyuz TMA-2 r 189 x 174 km 1 27782U 03016B 03117.56642795 .06521570 12294-4 90065-3 0 118 2 27782 51.6553 274.3637 0011854 68.3721 291.8568 16.34079807 207 Note: I estimate that this decayed over the Atlantic just after the northbound equator crossing at the end of this SatEvo-predicted rev: Soyuz TMA-2 r 138 x 133 km 1 27782U 03016B 03118.17570038 .56052093 33572+1 49295-3 0 90149 2 27782 51.6514 270.9188 0003869 70.9412 289.1007 16.51506020 300 With no elsets released over its final few hours, the uncertainty remains rather large. _____________________________________________________________________ Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum) Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- To unsubscribe from SeeSat-L, send a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@satobs.org List archived at http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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