Two more decayers to add to the ones being covered by my Decay Watch
page. Check there for more predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23857 = 96- 27 A = BeppoSAX
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Apr 26 15:23 Apr 29 11:35 +-2d 2.0 N 1.7 W
SatEvo Apr 26 18:20 Apr 30 14:55 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
BeppoSAX 247 x 243 km
1 23857U 96027A 03116.52307260 .01928616 28744-2 18861-2 0 6336
2 23857 3.9540 23.3740 0003338 278.4182 81.5302 16.10735445385715
Note: No prizes for guessing that this is visible near the equator
as it enters eclipse in the evening and exits before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25240 = 98- 14 B = Intelsat 806 Atlas 2AS Centaur Rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Apr 26 14:43 Apr 27 12:54 +-17h 22.5 N 1.6 E
SatEvo Apr 26 17:00 Apr 27 15:34 +-9h 17.5 N 79.7 W
Latest elset:
Intlst 806Cn r 8.3 3.0 0.0 4.0 v 23 430 x 150 km
1 25240U 98014B 03116.34285317 .09813671 -15083-4 18028-2 0 9032
2 25240 22.4541 330.2365 0209655 6.9904 353.3383 15.94503618137630
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
Intlst 806Cn r 8.3 3.0 0.0 4.0 v 23 205 x 131 km
1 25240U 98014B 03117.51895276 .53053611 95532+0 10628-2 0 99030
2 25240 22.4477 320.7217 0056733 23.8268 336.4349 16.39176093137824
Intlst 806Cn r 8.3 3.0 0.0 4.0 v 23 171 x 123 km
1 25240U 98014B 03117.57965601 .88141856 42355+1 85497-3 0 99036
2 25240 22.4467 320.2083 0037041 24.7354 335.4418 16.47095180137839
Note: I estimate that this will decay over the Caribbean following
the northbound equator crossing at the end of the final predicted
rev above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27776 = 03- 15 B = Cosmos 2397 Proton rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Apr 26 09:30 Apr 26 05:51 +-7m 23.0 S 46.0 W
SatEvo Apr 26 16:25 Apr 26 04:45 +-90m 40.2 N 36.5 E
Final elset:
Cosmos 2397 Proton r 156 x 149 km
1 27776U 03015B 03115.94656322 .07764869 12537-4 21950-3 0 153
2 27776 51.6459 277.1486 0005510 266.5390 93.8510 16.45156743 297
Note: The final elset, still a few hours before this re-entered,
shows it running 3 seconds late against my final prediction.
I show it decaying northbound over Jordan on the orbit after the
following SatEvo-predicted rev:
Cosmos 2397 Proton r 133 x 129 km
1 27776U 03015B 03116.12831891 .37948585 14886+1 26094-3 0 90150
2 27776 51.6439 276.1086 0003131 267.3144 92.6498 16.53094744 320
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27782 = 03- 16 B = Soyuz TMA-2 Soyuz rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Apr 26 11:21 Apr 28 10:11 +-1d 12.6 N 88.0 W
SatEvo Apr 26 18:10 Apr 28 08:37 +-11h
Latest elset:
Soyuz TMA-2 r 215 x 190 km
1 27782U 03016B 03116.70806105 .02922935 12060-4 82402-3 0 67
2 27782 51.6582 279.1381 0018860 71.1143 289.1861 16.26390798 68
Note: Eclipse entry occurs southbound near 36 deg S in the evening
with eclipse exit northbound near 12 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Apr 26 2003 - 14:43:22 EDT